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You Owe Gordon Hayward An Apology

Introduction

Look at that face. Would you just take two seconds and LOOK AT THAT FACE! Would you ever do anything to offend that boy? Sadly, chances are you already have. And if marriage has taught me anything, it's to not bury past offenses and hope they go away. They need to see daylight.  THIS is your chance to make amends for the past. You owe it to yourself. You owe it to Gordy.

Star-divide

HUH?!

Let me refresh your memory. On June 24, 2010, the Jazz were finally able to cash in on the fabled "Knick's Pick." Year's of fantasizing about the value of a first round pick from the abyssal Knicks certainly had our mouths watering. But when the Knicks finished higher than expected, the possibility of landing a "franchise" player was all but lost. Yet, our expectations and hopes as fans, however unrealistic, still remained. And then it happened.

With the 9th pick in the 2010 NBA Draft, the Utah Jazz select Gordon Hayward from Butler University.

Momentarily silenced, we watched as our stratospheric expectations nose dived at terminal velocity. Visions of the next Dwayne Wade running down the court with a Jazz note striped across his chest were replaced with a face that looked like it belongs on the Andy Griffith Show. The first reaction on the draft night thread was a simple "Huh?!". But soon after the dam broke.

"You gotta be SH****** me"
"What a waste of a pick"
"Oh F***"
"Laughably idiotic pick"
"Good Hell"
"White guy. Predictable"
"F—-F—-F—-F—-F—-F—-F—-F—"
"O'Connor is a moron. It's official"
"Fire KOC"
"There better be something else in the works"
"BOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO"
"I am very angry"
"This is what we get with the Knicks Pick? This is it?"
"(hanging my head in depression)"
"5 years! For this guy. Lol This really is sad."
"Wow I wish we got george"
"George > Hayward"
"D***. Now I'm depressed"
"This is a terrible pick!!"
"I'd have preferred Babbitt to Hayward"
"Hopefully there's a trade coming"
"I would have taken Babbitt instead of Hayward this is a COME ON MAAAAAAN MOMENT RIGHT HERE"
"FUUUUUU#$%"

The reaction on SLCDUNK.com was hardly unique. "[B]oos...rained down" at Energy Solutions Arena, and similar sentiments sprung from the embittered hearts of Jazz fans across the globe . In short, Hayward wasn't what we wanted or thought we needed.

And there standing innocently in the middle of this Jazz Fan / Jazz Management conflict was Gordon Hayward. Happy to get his start. Happy to have his family and his sweetheart by his side when it happened. Though a night's rest tempered our disappointment to a degree, the morning after only 7% of SLCDUNK.com readers  felt Hayward was the best player available. In other words, only 7% of us gave Hayward the welcome he deserved.

"Wait, hold up. That's it?!" you're thinking. "That's the slight, the snub, the slap? This is what I'm apologizing for? Why grovel at his feet, let the boy prove himself! Couldn't 93% of us still be dead right?"

Perhaps. But as we'll see, the odds of that aren't good.

Gordy Is A Man And He Will Silence You

Nothing on the surface is striking about Gordon Hayward. He's skinny, he's white (yeah, I said it), and he's a "deep threat" that only shot 29.4% from the three point line last season for Butler. Comparing him, at least superficially, to other wings drafted after him certainly doesn't help either. Hayward's wingspan is 3.5" shorter than Paul George's and his vertical leap is 3" less than Luke Babbitt's. Babbitt  performed better in the shooting drills at the NBA Draft Combine, and both Babbitt and George outscored Hayward in college. Further, highlight searches for either Babbitt or George yield countless high octane dunks, blocks, and other testosterone drenched man-child feats. Similar searches for Hayward, however, only confirm that his range doesn't extend to half court in title games. So why all the fuss? Prepare to have your mind blown, Mayberry style.

Hayward averaged fewer points than Babbitt, George, John Wall or DeMarcus cousins in this years summer league. But I submit that he was still the best scorer out of the bunch.

http://i816.photobucket.com/albums/zz85/alexandria_va/points.png

Hang with me for a second. While there's something to be said for game totals, they hardly tell the whole story. For instance, it's critically important to look at how many minutes each player played and how often they handled the ball.

http://i816.photobucket.com/albums/zz85/alexandria_va/poss.png

Of the 5 players here examined, Hayward had by far the fewest minutes and possessions. Adjusting totals for 40 minutes of play brings my point home.

http://i816.photobucket.com/albums/zz85/alexandria_va/per40.png

Hayward has the second highest  point total per 40 minutes of play. And while George and Cousins were within a point of Hayward, they needed an extra 12.22 and 15.22 possessions respectively to do it! (YES THOSE NUMBERS ARE CORRECT!) Now that's efficiency Mr. Hayward!

Further, Hayward also had the second highest number of free throw attempts with 10.66 per 40 minutes of play, converting on 92.9%! While John Wall had a superior 14.57 attempts per 40, he needed an extra 25.90 possessions to get there. (again, this statistic is correct!) So not only is Hayward scoring efficiently, he's beating defenders while he's at it.

Now the astute among you will have noted by now that a higher percentage of Wall's possessions go to assists for which he shoots no free throws and makes no points. To account for this I have calculated the Percentage of Possessions with a Score ("PPS"). (i.e. What percent of a player's possessions end with that player making a basket, getting to the free throw line, or assisting another player. This does not account for times the player handled the ball, passed it to another player, and no assist took place). The results may surprise you.

http://i816.photobucket.com/albums/zz85/alexandria_va/PPS.png?1286209004

Comparing Hayward's 2010 Summer League Statistics to players of note from the 2009-2010 season, we get a feel for just how impressive Haywards efficiency was this summer. Even accounting for Wall's superior assist totals, it is clear that Hayward was still by far the more efficient player.

Other Thoughts

At only 20 years old, Hayward has demonstrated an impressive understanding of basketball. Jerry Sloan noted that Hayward is a "very smart guy," and even went on to say "[h]e's got everything." (When Sloan gives praise like this pay attention).

Part of Hayward's basketball IQ comes in the form of restraint. I clearly remember one Sunday when I was about 10 years old, my mom leaning down during one of the hymns and tactfully encouraging me to "try to blend in." She knew, that despite my enthusiasm, I wasn't ready to sing a solo. Unlike my 10 year old self, Hayward has demonstrated a remarkable ability to know his part, his role within an offense. Hayward went to the free throw line at a remarkable rate this summer and shot 72% inside the arc on limited possessions. Contrast that to Paul George's 3 for 26 from beyond the arc during Summer League Play. If you are Kevin O'Connor picking at number 9 who do you pick to fit into the system? Who would you put in your choir?

Disclaimer

Am I excited about these numbers? YES! Am I an idiot? I hope not. To be clear, I would NOT take Gordon Hayward over DeMarcus Cousins or John Wall. Further, the jury is still out on whether Hayward will be a better player than George or Babbitt. All of the above statistics are based off summer league totals and and great caution must be taken when placing weight on them--in summer league the play is sloppy, the competition is suspect, players can't foul out, and it's not about team play. So why am I excited about these numbers? I believe Hayward's numbers are more impressive BECAUSE it was summer league play. I don't think Hayward will approach anything near this efficiency in the NBA, but doing this on a summer league team with no experience playing with his teammates evidences that Hayward has something special.

Conclusion

Hayward has a quiet confidence. He's intelligent. He doesn't play with a sense of entitlement or with great ostentation.  He's a Jazz man. And he is a 20 year old millionaire that just bought a Honda Accord.

Now, I could have waited till after preseason play to publish this piece, or even a few months into the season, but I don't think it would have changed the message. And what message is that?

Clear the air with Gordy. Believe in Gordy. Otherwise you will be just another one of the many critics he will silence.

And so with that, let me be the first. Gordon Hayward, I am sorry

Twitter: @johnmrobert

*EDIT*

I forgot to give a special thanks to @allthatamar. His statistical summary below is what inspired me to delve deeper into this in the first place!

Poll
Gordon Hayward, I am....
Sorry!
143 votes

143 votes | Poll has closed

All comments are the opinion of the commenter and not necessarily that of SLC Dunk or SB Nation.

Comment 22 comments  |  4 recs  | 

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Comments

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i just scanned through the thread to see what i said

and what caught my eye was you talking about jake and vienna ;)

by moni on Oct 4, 2010 2:09 PM MDT reply actions  

Oh, gee thanks Moni

My credibility just hindenburged!

"Deep, deep in my heart I'm a Jazzman. All this summer, I knew I was
going to come back. I couldn't imagine my career without Jerry." -Fes

Follow this: @johnmrobert

by Alexandria VA on Oct 4, 2010 2:14 PM MDT up reply actions  

I went to the Jazz scrimmage on Saturday, and what really caught me off-guard was how large of stature Gordon Hayward is. He is taller than Paul Milsap, with about the same size frame as Milsap, although Milsap has much more muscle and much more definition in his muscles at this stage in their careers. With some weight training, Hayward could probably even play power forward. That makes him a very large small forward, or a huge shooting guard or point guard. I was also impressed with an article this summer that pointed out that Hayward has very good lateral quickness, partially as a result of his original sport of tennis, and above-average athleticism for the NBA. Combine all these traits with his high basketball IQ, and maybe people will be comparing him to, but not confusing him with) Magic Johnson (which brings to mind the line from Forrest Gump, when Forrest and his African American friend “Blue” report for duty in Vietnam, and when they both give an identical response to their sargeant, he comments that "what are you two brothers, or something—to which Forrest Gump replies: “We are not relations, Sir!”). Although noone will ever confuse Magic Johnson and Gordon Hayward as being “relations,” perhaps Gordon will turn into that type of player in a couple of years. NCAA heroics do sometimes convert over to success in the NBA—for example, Duane Wade.

My favorite nickname for Hayward: “GOOOOOOOOOOORDAN!!” (yelled as if a hispanic sportscaster were announcing a goal in a soccer game).

by Fesenko for President on Oct 4, 2010 2:58 PM MDT reply actions  

Lol. I like the nickname.

I also think Hayward’s tennis experience has helped with his overall court sense. When you watch good tennis players like Federer, they seem to almost know where the ball is going before it leaves their opponents racket. They anticipate. This leads to less frantic play and more smoothness and economy of movement. I think it was Chad Ford (may have been Hollinger that was impressed by how smooth Hayward was in predraft workouts. Hayward just seems to have a good sense about where he should be on the court and when to react.

"Deep, deep in my heart I'm a Jazzman. All this summer, I knew I was
going to come back. I couldn't imagine my career without Jerry." -Fes

Follow this: @johnmrobert

by Alexandria VA on Oct 4, 2010 3:14 PM MDT up reply actions  

Good to see you back commenting again Clark!

Hasn’t it been a while or am I delusional?

"Deep, deep in my heart I'm a Jazzman. All this summer, I knew I was
going to come back. I couldn't imagine my career without Jerry." -Fes

Follow this: @johnmrobert

by Alexandria VA on Oct 4, 2010 11:58 PM MDT up reply actions  

Wow! Magic Johnson?

I think Shane Battier should be the goal.

by El Aguacil on Oct 4, 2010 4:04 PM MDT up reply actions  

Great post. This is what I posted after we drafted him.

“I was at the NCAA games in Salt Lake and he was the best player on the floor. He outplayed Wes Johnson. Johnson was the better athlete, but Hayward defended him well and outplayed him. I think in the Jazz system he will be fine. Not a superstar but could be decent.”

I was one of the few that liked him from the start

by BobbyD31 on Oct 4, 2010 3:49 PM MDT reply actions  

I must admit that I am sorry, Gordon. I was mad at the pick and now that has become tempered optimism.

However, for the record, I was, and still am today, in favor of Xavier Henry and Ed Davis.

But we’ll see. Hayward is a Jazzman, I like him and will root for him. Hard.

The more you try to erase me, the more that I appear.

by clarkpojo on Oct 4, 2010 5:15 PM MDT reply actions  

Both Davis and Henry could turn out to be outstanding picks

Davis had a very respectable PPS of 61.3% in summer league play. But where he really shined was his 2 offensive rebounds per only 25 minutes of play. He must have just been abusing young fellas down low.It was a shame he tore his meniscus this summer.

Then of course there’s Henry who didn’t play in summer league because the Grizzlies decided to try and play hard ball. I definitely would have included him in the analysis as a wing drafted after Hayward if he had played this summer. We’ll likely see all these guys in the rookie-sophmore game.

"Deep, deep in my heart I'm a Jazzman. All this summer, I knew I was
going to come back. I couldn't imagine my career without Jerry." -Fes

Follow this: @johnmrobert

by Alexandria VA on Oct 4, 2010 11:51 PM MDT up reply actions  

Ok

This was the funniest post I have read on this site in some time, and that is saying a lot b/c there have been some incredible posts by various ppl in the past couple of years.

Fantastic analysis of the summer league games, and I applaud the “oh gosh” and giddy commentary.

I confess I was a doubter when he was drafted.
I watched the summer league games and thought he was reticent yet efficient, but did not realize just how efficient he was until I read your analysis.
Count me in as a fan. I still think he’s got Dumbo ears and could not possibly look more goofy…but I’ll get over it.
My deepest apologies, Gordy.

by moneyman memo on Oct 4, 2010 6:00 PM MDT reply actions  

I didnt' like the pick at first

but no apologies until he steps on the court and we see what we got. Don’t count your chicks before they hatch. He might be like glass and be injury-prone, he might never find his shot in the NBA, he might be a horrible defender, he might be an All-Star, he might be our most durable player, he might be Hornaceck reincarnated. There are too many unknowns still to say for sure that it was a good or bad pick.

by P_Dizzle on Oct 4, 2010 6:58 PM MDT reply actions  

agreed

I got caught up in all the hype and the was drinking the hate-rade when the pick was made. But really in 2 years or so is when we can grade Hayward.

by P_Dizzle on Oct 5, 2010 10:21 AM MDT up reply actions  

But injury-prone should not be the criteria

When evaluating Hayward as a player, his ability to stay healthy shouldn’t be taken into consideration. It’s an unknown that O’Connor can’t predict, unless X-rays are available indicating that Hayward’s bones are injury-prone like those in case of Oden (some say that doctors of some NBA teams had suspisions when they saw some of his knee scans).

O’Connor’s job is to draft the best talent who has a desire to work hard to develop the gifts. His job is not to be a fortune teller.

by bbn on Oct 12, 2010 6:29 PM MDT up reply actions  

True...

The jury hasn’t reached a decision on Hayward. But while they deliberate I’m gonna believe in him. Who knows, maybe a little fan love is all he needs to hit the ground running.

"Deep, deep in my heart I'm a Jazzman. All this summer, I knew I was
going to come back. I couldn't imagine my career without Jerry." -Fes

Follow this: @johnmrobert

by Alexandria VA on Oct 4, 2010 11:56 PM MDT up reply actions  

i remember waiting for that pick and hoping they picked him, i dont know anything about anything, but i did know that he was perfect for tha jazz, and if they didnt pick him in the first round he’d be gone by the time they picked again.

gonna be fun to see what he brings, i know it’ll be a lot!

by handlogten on Oct 5, 2010 7:26 AM MDT reply actions  

He's winning me over

I was definitely among the majority that didn’t like the pick at the time. In fact, that’s a blatant understatement. I was livid. Since then, I’ve warmed up to Hayward quite a bit to the point I now believe he will be a solid contributor this season.

by UTJazzBlog on Oct 13, 2010 11:20 PM MDT reply actions  

For sure...

He’s played great so far this preseason I think. He hasn’t shot well, but he’s done all the little things you can’t teach. (he’s fighting hard, he’s not getting discouraged, he’s making good passes (touch pass to Kirilenko was awesome, and he’s intelligent))

The shooting and all the rest will come. He has the intangibles.

"Deep, deep in my heart I'm a Jazzman. All this summer, I knew I was
going to come back. I couldn't imagine my career without Jerry." -Fes

Follow this: @johnmrobert

by Alexandria VA on Oct 14, 2010 8:42 AM MDT up reply actions  

I apologized via Twitter

but I’d better do it here too just to be safe. G TIME!!!!!

Twitter @SLCdrummer

by Jazz Dude on Oct 18, 2010 9:15 AM MDT reply actions  

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