Free Contest: Guess the Game Score 2011-2012 Final Draw

May 5, 2012; Salt Lake City, UT, USA; A dancer for the Utah Jazz performs during a time out in the first half of game three in the Western Conference quarterfinals of the 2012 NBA Playoffs against the San Antonio Spurs at EnergySolutions Arena. Mandatory Credit: Russ Isabella-US PRESSWIRE

Hey everyone, this is it. I've gone over each and every tweet, comment, and thread. Like I said, I was going to increase the size of the winners pool to make this more fun. For #20 games you all got a chance to guess the game score. Some of you elected to do so. There were 1248 total entries in all of the contests. That averages out to only 62.4 guesses per GTGS contest. I sure hope we can get that to 85 on average next season. Perhaps we will when you see what prizes I've got lined up for the winners of this year's contest.

Out of the 1248 entries there were (because of ties) 231 different winners. Right off the bat that means you had a 18.4% chance to be a winner in this contest. The odds get better the more times you play, because the more times you play the more chances you have to win. There were 142 different winners in this year's contest.

We you among them? Check here to find out:

The numbers:

Contest Information Total Winners
Entries 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th Total
GTGS #1 Jan 14 Utah Jazz 107 vs. New Jersey Nets 94 . 108 1 2 1 2 5 11
GTGS #2 Jan 21 Utah Jazz 108 vs. Minnesota Timberwolves 98 . 95 1 1 4 7 6 19
GTGS #3 Jan 28 Utah Jazz 96 vs. Sacramento Kings 93 . 82 1 1 3 3 2 10
GTGS #4 Feb 4 Utah Jazz 96 vs. Los Angeles Lakers 87 . 79 1 5 9 4 7 26
GTGS #5 Feb 10 Utah Jazz 87 vs. Oklahoma City Thunder 101 . 101 1 2 2 1 2 8
GTGS #6 Feb 17 Utah Jazz 117 vs. Washington Wizards 100 . 67 2 1 1 1 2 7
GTGS #7 Feb 22 Utah Jazz 98 @ Minnesota Timberwolves 100 . 57 4 3 5 5 6 23
GTGS #8 Mar 3 Utah Jazz 96 @ Dallas Mavericks 102 . 54 1 1 1 1 1 5
GTGS #9 Mar 10 Utah Jazz 97 @ Chicago Bulls 111 . 55 1 1 1 2 2 7
GTGS #10 Mar 17 Utah Jazz 99 vs. Golden State Warriors 92 . 72 1 2 1 7 2 13
GTGS #11 Mar 22 Utah Jazz 121 vs. Denver Nuggets 102 . 58 1 2 1 1 4 9
GTGS #12 Mar 31 Utah Jazz 96 @ Los Angeles Clippers 105 . 59 1 1 2 4 1 9
GTGS #13 Apr 6 Utah Jazz 98 vs. Golden State Warriors 104 . 28 3 2 2 1 1 9
GTGS #14 Apr 13 Utah Jazz 85 @ New Orleans Hornets 96 . 66 2 1 5 4 6 18
GTGS #15 Apr 21 Utah Jazz 117 vs. Orlando Magic 107 . 67 1 1 2 3 3 10
GTGS #16 Apr 26 Utah Jazz 96 vs. Portland Trail Blazers 94 . 39 1 2 5 3 6 17
GTGS #17 Apr 29 Utah Jazz 91 @ San Antonio Spurs 106 . 36 1 2 2 1 2 8
GTGS #18 May 2 Utah Jazz 83 @ San Antonio Spurs 114 . 51 1 1 3 1 4 10
GTGS #19 May 5 Utah Jazz 90 vs. San Antonio Spurs 102 . 41 1 2 1 1 1 6
GTGS #20 May 7 Utah Jazz 81 vs. San Antonio Spurs 87 . 33 1 1 1 2 1 6

As you can see, I'm a big huge nerd. Also, the Jazz were 10-6 in the regular season on GTGS nights. And really good at home. In these games, though, the Jazz only averaged 98.0 ppg, while giving up 99.8. I guess those four losses in the playoffs hurt. The Jazz finished the season 10-10, and lost on average by 2 points. Keep this in mind for next season.

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The Final draw:

First of all, we're going to weight the results. First place results net you 5 points. Second place results net you 4 points. Third place results net you 3 points. Fourth place results net you 2 points. And yes, Fifth place results net you with 1 point. So if you played in 5 of the GTGS contests, and you were a winner twice (a #2 and a #5 place finish) you get 5 points.

When you add up all the points available (27 first place x 5, 34 second place x 4, etc...) you get 599. Because 600 is a much more nice, round number we're adding another individual who did not 'win' but did predict a good outcome in an earlier contest. In the Utah Jazz vs. Chicago Bulls game the top score, the #1 place finish, was a 6 point difference from the actual result. Our buddy Clintonite33 guessed a 6 point margin as well, but he guessed the game score, for total points by Carlos Boozer vs. Paul Millsap. Meh. Works for me. Clint gets the #600th point, so we have a nice round number.

So yes, there are 600 points. The more you played the more chances you had to win. The more times you won the more points you got. The more points you have give you a greater probability to "win" this NBA lotto style draw.

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The Winners (ranked by most points to least):

23 BC @bjcseven 6 chadillac @increase_always 4 Alan @Jedizaugg
21 jrclone 6 Danny Hansen @theofficialddh 4 Asmaki
19 tjm538 6 gubihero 4 bigdog'sshades
15 Derek Pyper @pypermania 6 Jack Partridge @jackiePjazz 4 BJ Houlding @minicgogo
15 mykneegrows 6 Mehmet Alper KOC @memo_is_money 4 BlazingDeath
13 allen aoki 5 a antczak @AALunchbox801 4 Bob Aagard @bobaagard
13 Guybrush 5 Bryan @Bryan_B_ 4 Bryan Chang
12 P-Will 5 Caderade 4 CJ Haws @XxHawsxX
11 Aaron @CocoDreamboat 5 Chris Lucherini @fobby 4 Dave Huggard @D_HUG
11 Mexican Jazz Fan @MexicanJazzFan 5 David Olson @Opie_Ute 4 Gino Rubalcava @Gino118
10 hamfist 5 Jazzed 4 Jake Jensen @topjazzfan
9 Diana Allen @DianaAllen 5 jtbbrandt 4 James Gilbert @jameson155
9 Eric Thorpe @WooSports 5 Kamshunugi 4 KaBar6
9 Gabriel Arellano @TheGabe1868 5 Levi Thompson @JazzfurrLIfe 4 muderousmalone
8 Dean Bull @horn_boy78 5 Matt Pacenza @mattpacenza 4 neds
8 Griffin Hoopes @griffinhoopes 5 Nathan Keller @nathanielkeller 4 Peter Novak @Peter_J_Novak
8 Jeremy Bowers @cubiclelord 5 Patrick Bodily @highfives4life 4 Ryan Dymock @rdymock
8 millerjryan 5 Rich McHenry @SLCRich 4 S Andrew Sproul @andrewsproul90
7 Debra @fingersone 5 Ryan Prewitt @RyanPrewitt1 4 Shan @Shan_801
7 dwillforlife 5 Superheroboy 4 socaljazzfan
7 Jazz9Titans 5 Tcubed @iSimplifyIT 4 Surly @SurlyMae
7 Joseph D. Borg @smorgasborg11 5 zdid 4 Texansforever2122
7 Mike Harding @ausmharding 4 WildcatUte
4 x

And here are the really low probability players:

3 Adam Peterson @jazzutefan6807 2 Aaron Vessel 1 Alexander Perkins @SuperPerks
3 Brian M. Wilson @utbeamer 2 BJInIndiana 1 Andy Larsen @AndyBLarsen
3 cjblockingfisher (SBN) 2 Brett Preston @b_preston 1 ccbig33
3 Eric Bresee @da_breezman 2 Brian Mecham @SportsNut99 1 Chase Stuart @cSTU2
3 gregorio delgado @G_Del801 2 Chad Nielson @Lord_Chadeous 1 Cody @New_OrleansJazz
3 James Andrus @KingJames801 2 Cody @New_OrleansJazz 1 Colin Young @ColYou
3 Jeff Woodland @BravetheEarth 2 Doctor Double J 1 David Marquardt @Demarq44
3 Jefferson Mac @Mac_Jazz 2 Donald (DJ) Toomey @Deejay14 1 Doug Nelson @doogiesurf
3 jsal 2 Dustin Turner @dmturner1232 1 Father of the Jazz Quartet
3 Kam Wall @lakerh8r 2 Febreze Brother @Kyle11Kirkham 1 Hank @AngryJazzFan
3 Kyle Blanchard @Kfunkc50 2 Jay Eh Ess Oh En @JasonForTheLove 1 Jackson Andrask @jacksonTheAggie
3 motes 2 jays299 1 JazzMT
3 Pmoney 2 jazzyman 1 Jeff Cartwright @carty64
3 Rob Winder @rob_winder 2 Jordan Makin @makinUVbetter 1 Joey Johnson @joey4king
3 Stockton2Malone (SBN) 2 Joseph Stuart @jstu87 1 JonJonJazz
3 TurboJazz224 2 Karpasov 1 Lauren Bytheway @LaurenMonoto
3 yorgoss 2 Kfunk 1 LP Jazz
2 Mitch Menning @utahmitch 1 Matt Jury @matt_jury
2 Nathan Johnson @nathandthebuket 1 Original Lazy Bear @racistglenbeck
2 Parker Sutton @Parksutt 1 Quinne James @volucris_scr
2 SladderExtra 1 Rando3
2 Stephen Ritz @esritz 1 Ryan Moss @ryjmoss
2 Steve @PastaChampion 1 Siow52
2 TBKIII 1 Soupe
2 Zach Sterbens @sterbderb 1 thatdoolinkid
1 Tony @jazzfernee
1 Tyson @Tyson_1973
1 utahjazz-philippines
1 UtonganKidInCali
1 WildcatUte
0 Clint Peterson @clintonite33

Also, if you have a twitter account and it is not listed above, then holler.

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There will be 5 top winners.

To get this far you are all already winners. To be a top winner you also have to be lucky enough to beat the odds as well. BC7 has the best odds, but it's still as 23 / 600 situation for him. That means he has a 3.8% chance to win. Everyone is still in the game here. How many points you have determine, duh, how much of the available 600 points you claim. I'm going to roll 100d6 to get the winner. Then I'll take his or her name out and roll 100d6 again, and again, and again, until there are #5 total winners.

The #5 spot will be the first winner, and the last roll will be for the top winner.

The winners will receive (here's the big reveal I've been hiding all year long) gift cards to Fanzz Sports Apparel retail stores. Yes, exciting. Of course, the #1 winner will have a higher value gift card than the #5 winner, but still -- not bad for a free contest with actual prizes.

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"...but wait, what if you roll 1s on all 100 dice:

That's still a 100, meaning the person who has ownership of the numbers 1-99 is out of luck." Not really. Well, really yes. But more reasonably, no. If I roll a 100, then I'll just roll a percentile die to see who actually wins. Not that big of a deal.

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Lucky numbers:

Players who have the highest number of points will automatically be given ownership of the statistically most probable dice values. The individuals with the least points will have the least. (e.g. there are more combinations of 100 d6 die rolls that are in the 300-400 range, vs. a 1, or a 600)

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When will the final draw happen?

Either as soon as I can do it, or closer to the draft. Thanks everyone for playing.

X
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