Following on from Yucca Man's post about Foye and what the Jazz might be trying to achieve with their expiring contracts, I have mapped out a few scenarios for the next few years and how they will effect the salary cap. I have estimated future contract values, so if you think I'm way out please let me know where.
First here is our committed contracts. Raja Bell isn't on here and I guessed the break down of the Jeremy Evans contract, but apart from that I think it is all pretty accurate. (numbers from Sham Sports)
Green cells are current contracts, yellow cells are estimated values, brown is qualifying offers and orange is player options.
Scenario A - Do nothing
Extend Millsap and resign all our players except Jamaal and Earl. Resign Al to a 2 year $20m contract with a 15% signing bonus and a player option. Big Al's role in the team is reduced, but he has financial security, and an option to leave if he isn't happy with his team role.
Resign Marv, Mo, Randy and DMC, or equivalent players with similar contracts.
Match the max contract Favors is offered and the reasonable contract Hayward is offered. Likewise for Burks and Kanter the next year.
This teams likely window for a championship run is probably 13/14 and 14/15, with a small luxury tax hit in 14/15 if Al picks up his option.
Scenario B - Lose Big Al, sign a Superstar
Extend Millsap, lose Big Al, Earl and Jamaal. Resign all others like above.
The likely window for a championship run is probably 13/14 and 16/17, but with a major luxury tax hit in 15/16 and 16/17
Scenario C - Lose Millsap and Big Al, sign two superstars
Lose Millsap, Al, Earl and Jamaal, and more then likely Mo Will and Foye unless they sign a below market contract, and expect to lose at least 2 of our core 4 in the future.
The likely window for a championship run is probably 13/14 and 16/17, but with a luxury tax hits in 14/15, 15/16 and 16/17 (and take into account the tax rate is increased for repeat offenders this could hurt a lot)