If you want a refresher on the trade you can just click here; but basically we got picks and used our capspace to rent some players. The beauty of this lies in the fact that if the Golden State Warriors were to miss the playoffs, the Utah Jazz would walk away with another lottery pick. Of course, if the Dubs don't miss the playoffs, it inherently becomes less valuable.
So, if we assume the Warriors do make the playoffs, what should we expect?
Well, right now Golden State has the 8th best record in the league. I don't think they're a serious threat to be in the Top Five (San Antonio Spurs, Indiana Pacers, Oklahoma City Thunder, Miami Heat, and currently the Houston Rockets). Most likely they'll be picking somewhere between #21 and #25.
Inherently, does this pick have value? Of course! There are plenty of 'okay' players you could possibly end up with if you scout well. And while I don't think the pick will end up being a bottom 5 pick in the first round, let's take a look at who has been picked in these spots over the last 15 NBA Drafts:
Well, the chances are about 1 in 3 that you get someone worth keeping. The more reasonable thing would be to package this draft pick with other assets (money, future picks, current picks, and current players) to move up. I'm confident that Dennis Lindsey is thinking about this right now. He has proven to me a willingness to make moves on draft day. I know, my phone battery died on draft night mainly because of all of his wheeling and dealings.
So I guess the bottom line here is that with an aggressive GM, any pick can be worth something. A late first rounder isn't always a place where Hall of Famers are picked -- but you can get a very good starter if your scouts know their stuff. And again, I suspect that DL is both an aggressive GM, and has great scouts. I would be surprised if we didn't end up using the #whatever spot pick we get from the Warriors this year in an impressive way that helps the team.