NBA Draft 2014: The Draft Lottery will be ______ to the Utah Jazz

USA TODAY Sports

Do you believe in magic?

Okay, the NBA Draft is in late June. And the Draft lottery is on May 20th. The NBA Pre-Draft Combine is the week before. And right now, well, it's still April. We have a lot of time to look at players right now, even if the spots aren't secure. (That's why we've kept up with our consensus player rankings, and not done round-ups of mock drafts to see who the Utah Jazz will be picking at #4) (After all, with Dennis Lindsey's track record where we are slotted to pick has nothing to do with who we are leaving the NBA draft with as a player -- he traded all his picks last year, and we got new players in spots we weren't scheduled to pick in.)

Sooooooo, getting back to the lottery . . . we know what the updated probabilities look like:

2013_2014_nba_draft_lotto_-_post_coin_flip_probabilities

It is unlikely that the Jazz pick at #4 (again, big reason why I haven't been showing you who people think we'll take at #4, in April, a month before the lotto). It's more likely that the Jazz pick in the Top 3, and way more likely that they pick somewhere in the Top 5, but there's still a 1 in 5 shot we drop down. So how you look at it may depend on how optimistic / realistic / pessimistic you are. Yeah, so the question becomes "what do you think will happen at the draft lottery?"

Are you superstitious? If so, do you have a 'go-to' plan for what to do on the day of the lottery?

More on the NBA Draft:

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior users will need to choose a permanent username, along with a new password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

I already have a Vox Media account!

Verify Vox Media account

Please login to your Vox Media account. This account will be linked to your previously existing Eater account.

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior MT authors will need to choose a new username and password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join SLC Dunk

You must be a member of SLC Dunk to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at SLC Dunk. You should read them.

Join SLC Dunk

You must be a member of SLC Dunk to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at SLC Dunk. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9347_tracker