NBA Draft: Utah Jazz guard Trey Burke should play a lot of mins this year, historically how many do Jazz 1st rounders get?

USA TODAY Sports

During the NBA Draft Combine the buzz about the Utah Jazz was that it was the perfect situation for one of the point guards attending to be in. In fact, Dennis Schroeder was coached to say that his favorite team was the Utah Jazz (or the Milwaukee Bucks depending on who he was talking to, as Mychal and I Hardy Boy'd our way into). Why? It's appears as though the Jazz were because Mo Williams, Randy Foye, Jamaal Tinsley, and Earl Watson are all free agents this off-season. Most draft websites had us leaving the draft with one or more draft picks.

In reality though we left with two . . . but traded for both of them at spots we weren't supposed to get: #9 (Trey Burke) and #47 (Raul Neto). We don't think Raul will be here next year, and really -- in this league -- it's all about the first rounders. (Sorry Paul Millsap, Carlos Boozer, Mehmet Okur)

How many minutes (or games started) do you think Trey will get this year in this "perfect situation"? Well, historically we know how many minutes our first rounders get. Let's check it out!

NCAA NBA Rookie Year
Player Draft Games Mins MPG G Started G Played Mins MPG
1 Thurl Bailey 1983 1 7 123 4002 32.5 54 81 2009 24.8
2 John Stockton 1984 1 16 107 3378 31.6 5 82 1490 18.2
3 Karl Malone 1985 1 13 92 2831 30.8 76 81 2475 30.6
4 Dell Curry 1986 1 15 126 4275 33.9 0 67 636 9.5
5 Jose Ortiz 1987 1 15 52 1865 35.9 15 51 327 6.4
6 Eric Leckner 1988 1 17 131 3808 29.1 0 75 779 10.4
7 Blue Edwards 1989 1 21 57 1863 32.7 49 82 1889 23.0
8 Eric Murdock 1991 1 21 117 3648 31.2 0 50 478 9.6
9 Luther Wright 1992 1 18 64 1150 18.0 2 15 92 6.1
10 Greg Ostertag 1995 1 28 137 3042 22.2 10 57 661 11.6
11 Jacque Vaughn 1997 1 27 126 3807 30.2 0 45 419 9.3
12 Quincy Lewis 1999 1 19 127 2938 23.1 0 74 896 12.1
13 Andrei Kirilenko 1999 1 24 N/A N/A N/A 40 82 2151 26.2
14 Scott Padgett 1999 1 28 122 2891 23.7 9 47 432 9.2
15 DeShawn Stevenson 2000 1 23 0 0 0.0 2 40 293 7.3
16 Raul Lopez 2001 1 24 N/A N/A N/A 11 82 1617 19.7
17 Curtis Borchardt * 2002 1 18 66 1426 21.6 0 16 258 16.1
18 Sasha Pavlovic 2003 1 19 N/A N/A N/A 14 79 1144 14.5
19 Kris Humphries 2004 1 14 29 990 34.1 4 67 873 13.0
20 Kirk Snyder 2004 1 16 84 2586 30.8 7 68 906 13.3
21 Deron Williams 2005 1 3 101 3200 31.7 47 80 2307 28.8
22 Ronnie Brewer 2006 1 14 90 2974 33.0 14 56 675 12.1
23 Morris Almond 2007 1 25 121 3279 27.1 0 9 39 4.3
24 Kosta Koufos 2008 1 23 37 1003 27.1 7 48 565 11.8
25 Eric Maynor 2009 1 20 130 3990 30.7 2 81 1269 15.7
26 Derrick Favors 2010 1 3 36 989 27.5 4 22 444 20.2
27 Gordon Hayward 2010 1 9 69 2285 33.1 17 72 1218 16.9
28 Enes Kanter 2011 1 3 0 0 0.0 0 66 874 13.2
29 Alec Burks 2011 1 12 68 2100 30.9 0 59 939 15.9
30 Trey Burke 2013 1 9 73 2605 35.7 TBD TBD TBD TBD
31 Rudy Gobert 2013 1 27 65 1114 17.1 TBD TBD TBD TBD

N.B. Some of the college minutes data I am less than secure over, BBALL Ref has a NCAA page, but it's filled with gaps; and searching other college sites gives conflicting answers. So, let's just assume that this data is accurate-ish. For example, I can see a guy like D-Will play 30/40 mins a game in the NCAA. I don't know how sure I am with the idea of Thurl playing 32.5 mpg though. Time will tell . . .

Okay, so from this we see that the guys who usually come "ready to play" (e.g. have a lot of college minutes) may end up playing good minutes in their rookie years. There are exceptions of course, like in the case of Dell, Murdock, Jacque, and others. For the most part those guys came onto a team at a position where we were strong.

I don't think we've ever been weaker on paper at the point than we are now.

Of course, if Trey doesn't play 2k this year I'll be upset. But that's just me being crazy about a numbers game.

How many minutes do you think he'll play over the season or per game? How many games will he play or start?

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