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The Numbers

By Kris Loertscher

This comes via @lockedonsports,

I emailed Mathletics. Asked what his numbers say is wrong with the Jazz. Here is his answer - Is it what you expected?

Here's what the guy behind mathletics has to say (click through for more),

  1. AK 47 and Millsap have been fantastic, especially on defense.
  2. Boozer, Brewer and Price have killed Jazz on defense.
  3. Williams has keyed offense
  4. Fesenko has played great and deserves more minutes. When he is in Jazz play 16 points better than average. [his emphasis]
  5. In their limited time Maynor and Koufos have killed Jazz. The team plays 30 points (per 48 minutes) worse than average when either is in.

Like clarkpojo IMd me, we've been saying most of this on SLC Dunk for a while.  82games.com backs up what he says as well,
Production
On Court/Off Court
Simple
Player
Min
Own
Opp
Net
On
Off
Net
Rating
 Kirilenko
80%
18.0
13.4
+4.7
+4.0
-24.4
+28.4
+14.1
 Fesenko
15%
17.7
12.0
+5.7
+16.7
-5.2
+21.9
+12.2
 Williams
84%
21.8
20.2
+1.6
+2.4
-24.0
+26.4
+11.5
 Matthews
31%
12.9
5.7
+7.3
-6.5
+0.2
-6.7
+1.7
 Millsap
49%
12.4
15.5
-3.0
+0.6
-4.2
+4.8
+0.1
 Koufos
5%
27.1
19.1
+8.0
-19.4
-0.9
-18.5
-2.6
 Okur
60%
15.3
18.7
-3.4
-4.5
+2.1
-6.7
-4.7
 Brewer
74%
12.8
17.0
-4.1
-3.8
+3.9
-7.7
-5.6
 Boozer
73%
19.4
23.9
-4.5
-4.1
+4.2
-8.3
-6.0
 Price
25%
8.7
25.0
-16.3
-10.3
+1.0
-11.3
-14.3
 Maynor
5%
10.8
30.5
-19.8
-65.9
+1.4
-67.2
-38.7

 

First, I know Maynor hadn't been doing well, but that is amazing.  No wonder Deron wanted to play last night despite the calf and the bad back.

And here's what they have for best floor units

Top Five-Man Floor Units

#
Unit
Min
Off
Def
+/-
W
L
Win%
1
 Williams-Brewer-Kirilenko-Boozer-Okur 122.8  1.12  1.17  -11   4   2  
66.6
2
 Williams-Brewer-Kirilenko-Boozer-Fesenko 17.9  1.08  1.14  -2   1   1  
50.0
3
 Williams-Brewer-Kirilenko-Millsap-Boozer 17.5  1.19  1.19  -2   3   2  
60.0
4
 Williams-Matthews-Kirilenko-Millsap-Boozer 17.3  0.84  0.76  +3   3   1  
75.0
5
 Williams-Price-Kirilenko-Millsap-Boozer 14.6  1.25  0.82  +12   2   1  
66.6
6
 Williams-Brewer-Kirilenko-Millsap-Okur 14.3  1.04  0.66  +13   1   1  
50.0
7
 Williams-Matthews-Brewer-Millsap-Okur 13.3  0.93  1.00  -3   2   2  
50.0
8
 Price-Matthews-Kirilenko-Millsap-Boozer 10.0  1.11  0.91  +1   2   1  
66.6
9
 Williams-Brewer-Kirilenko-Boozer-Koufos 8.6  1.23  0.96  +4   1   0  
100
10
 Price-Matthews-Brewer-Millsap-Okur 7.0  1.01  0.87  +0   1   1  
50.0

 

That's not a good sign when that starting unit is -11.  Maybe start Millsap given that that lineup seems to work and then bring in Boozer for Millsap or Okur?  Those lineups work as well.

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