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This season is a transition year for the Utah Jazz. This core may not even be the same core for the team that later on goes to the playoffs in the next few seasons. There are a lot of things that can change. One of the things that absolutely must change is the way the Jazz play defense. Even the traditional media has caught on to the fact that the same types of guys keep hurting us. If my laptop didn't die last week, I would have scooped them by 5 full games. (And let's be honest, in the next 10 years we're only going to see "non-Journalism school bloggisists" continue to scoop the print media more and more and more) After updating my spread sheet for the last five games here are the full breakdowns of which players have hurt us this season.
The time frame is from Game 1 to Game 30. The minimum points scored against the Jazz is 13. The over-all n-value = 94. That's further broken down into n = 31 bigmen; n = 35 wings; and n = 28 point guards. Of course, those are again divided into subgroups showing All the players from that class who scored 13 or more points against the Jazz, and just the non-Allstars who did the same.The critical criterion is Points Percentage Increase. This is very simple, it's how many points a player scored on the Jazz divided by his season PPG average.
Are the Jazz getting burned by the same type of player class each time? Bigs? Point guards? Are the Jazz getting killed by Allstar wings, or bench bigmen? Click on to see the results.
The Data:
- Full player list n = 94
- Bigmen list n = 31
- Wings list n = 35
- Point Guard list n = 28
- Total Games played = 30
- Total points scored on the Jazz by these 94 players: 1841 points
- Cumulative season PPG average of these 94 players: 1366.5 ppg
- That's a Points Percentage Difference of +34.7%
- So on average, the guys who play the Jazz and score at least 13.0 points against us are scoring at a baseline +34.7% rate than their season average.
- That is an average of 19.6 points scored vs the Jazz; while the average of the players is actually 14.5 ppg
- That is a net points difference of +5.1
That means that out of the guys who do score on us, they are picking their games up. Of course, that could also mean that our defense is keying in on some players, and guys are stepping up to compensate. I did not make a list of all players who scored on us, there is no doubt a number of players who usually score a solid PPG who have been scoring at a negative % diff against us -- they just didn't score 13 points in a game so far against us.
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The Big Chart, sorted by Points Percentage Difference (% diff)
Points | PPG | % | ||||
Player | Gm | Opp | vs. Jazz | '11-12 | Increase | Notes |
Courtney Fortson | 13 | vs. LAC | 13 | 4.3 | 202.3% | Point |
Rodigue Beaubois | 17 | @ DAL | 22 | 7.3 | 201.4% | Point |
Metta World Peace | 1 | @ LAL | 14 | 4.7 | 197.9% | Wing |
Steve Novak | 23 | @ NYK | 19 | 7.0 | 171.4% | Wing |
Jared Jeffries | 23 | @ NYK | 13 | 4.8 | 170.8% | Big |
Chris Kaman | 27 | @ NOR | 27 | 10.9 | 147.7% | Big |
Lamar Odom | 17 | @ DAL | 19 | 7.8 | 143.6% | Big |
Linas Kleiza | 16 | vs. TOR | 25 | 10.7 | 133.6% | Wing |
Rodigue Beaubois | 14 | vs. DAL | 17 | 7.3 | 132.9% | Point |
Wesley Johnson | 15 | vs. MIN | 13 | 5.6 | 132.1% | Wing |
Gustavo Ayon | 27 | @ NOR | 13 | 5.7 | 128.1% | Big |
Darren Collison | 24 | @ IND | 25 | 11.3 | 121.2% | Point |
Derrick Williams | 15 | vs. MIN | 15 | 7.2 | 108.3% | Wing |
Kyle Lowry | 30 | @ HOU | 32 | 15.4 | 107.8% | Point |
Jeremy Lin | 23 | @ NYK | 28 | 14.3 | 95.8% | Point |
Jason Smith | 5 | vs. NOR | 16 | 8.2 | 95.1% | Big |
Serge Ibaka | 28 | @ OKC | 16 | 8.3 | 92.8% | Big |
Serge Ibaka | 25 | vs. OKC | 16 | 8.3 | 92.8% | Big |
Manu Ginobili | 4 | @ SAS | 23 | 12.1 | 90.1% | Wing |
Tony Allen | 7 | vs. MEM | 21 | 11.1 | 89.2% | Wing |
Drew Gooden | 6 | vs. MIL | 24 | 12.7 | 89.0% | Big |
DeJuan Blair | 4 | @ SAS | 17 | 9.0 | 88.9% | Big |
Nene Hilario | 2 | @ DEN | 25 | 13.4 | 86.6% | Big |
Chris Paul | 20 | vs. LAC | 34 | 18.3 | 85.8% | Point |
Jarrett Jack | 5 | vs. NOR | 27 | 14.7 | 83.7% | Point |
Shawn Marion | 14 | vs. DAL | 22 | 12.0 | 83.3% | Wing |
Jordan Crawford | 29 | vs. WAS | 21 | 11.5 | 82.6% | Wing |
Tyreke Evans | 18 | vs. SAC | 31 | 17.0 | 82.4% | Point |
Jason Thompson | 18 | vs. SAC | 14 | 7.7 | 81.8% | Big |
Jimmer Fredette | 18 | vs. SAC | 14 | 8.0 | 75.0% | Point |
Luis Scola | 30 | @ HOU | 26 | 15.2 | 71.1% | Big |
Stephen Curry | 21 | @ GSW | 29 | 17.2 | 68.6% | Point |
Isaiah Thomas | 18 | vs. SAC | 13 | 7.9 | 64.6% | Point |
Jrue Holiday | 3 | vs. PHI | 22 | 13.6 | 61.8% | Point |
Brandon Rush | 8 | @ GSW | 14 | 8.7 | 60.9% | Wing |
Stephen Jackson | 6 | vs. MIL | 16 | 10.5 | 52.4% | Wing |
Ricky Rubio | 15 | vs. MIN | 17 | 11.3 | 50.4% | Point |
Monta Ellis | 21 | @ GSW | 33 | 22.0 | 50.0% | Point |
Blake Griffin | 20 | vs. LAC | 31 | 21.2 | 46.2% | Big |
Monta Ellis | 8 | @ GSW | 32 | 22.0 | 45.5% | Point |
Pau Gasol | 22 | vs. LAL | 24 | 16.6 | 44.6% | Big |
Spencer Hawes | 3 | vs. PHI | 15 | 10.5 | 42.9% | Big |
John Wall | 29 | vs. WAS | 24 | 16.9 | 42.0% | Point |
Mo Williams | 20 | vs. LAC | 19 | 13.5 | 40.7% | Point |
Marc Gasol | 7 | vs. MEM | 21 | 15.1 | 39.1% | Big |
Kobe Bryant | 10 | vs. LAL | 40 | 29.0 | 37.9% | Wing |
Nene Hilario | 12 | @ DEN | 18 | 13.4 | 34.3% | Big |
Shawn Marion | 17 | @ DAL | 16 | 12.0 | 33.3% | Wing |
Arron Afflalo | 12 | @ DEN | 16 | 12.0 | 33.3% | Wing |
Pau Gasol | 1 | @ LAL | 22 | 16.6 | 32.5% | Big |
Kris Humphries | 11 | vs. NJN | 18 | 13.6 | 32.4% | Big |
Antawn Jamison | 9 | vs. CLE | 22 | 16.7 | 31.7% | Wing |
James Harden | 28 | @ OKC | 22 | 16.8 | 31.0% | Wing |
Andre Iguodala | 3 | vs. PHI | 16 | 12.4 | 29.0% | Wing |
Andrew Bynum | 22 | vs. LAL | 21 | 16.3 | 28.8% | Big |
Mike Conley | 26 | @ MEM | 17 | 13.2 | 28.8% | Point |
Chris Kaman | 5 | vs. NOR | 14 | 10.9 | 28.4% | Big |
Al Harrington | 2 | @ DEN | 18 | 14.1 | 27.7% | Wing |
Lou Williams | 3 | vs. PHI | 20 | 15.9 | 25.8% | Point |
Roy Hibbert | 24 | @ IND | 17 | 13.6 | 25.0% | Big |
JaVale McGee | 29 | vs. WAS | 15 | 12.1 | 24.0% | Big |
Jordan Farmar | 11 | vs. NJN | 13 | 10.5 | 23.8% | Point |
Marco Belinelli | 27 | @ NOR | 13 | 10.5 | 23.8% | Wing |
Dorell Wright | 21 | @ GSW | 13 | 10.6 | 22.6% | Wing |
Jason Terry | 17 | @ DAL | 18 | 14.7 | 22.4% | Wing |
David Lee | 21 | @ GSW | 23 | 19.0 | 21.1% | Big |
Russell Westbrook | 25 | vs. OKC | 28 | 23.2 | 20.7% | Point |
Paul George | 24 | @ IND | 14 | 11.9 | 17.6% | Wing |
Rudy Gay | 26 | @ MEM | 22 | 18.9 | 16.4% | Wing |
Marc Gasol | 26 | @ MEM | 17 | 15.1 | 12.6% | Big |
LaMarcus Aldridge | 19 | vs. POR | 25 | 22.5 | 11.1% | Big |
Nicolas Batum | 19 | vs. POR | 15 | 13.6 | 10.3% | Wing |
Leandro Barbosa | 16 | vs. TOR | 13 | 11.8 | 10.2% | Wing |
DeMar DeRozan | 16 | vs. TOR | 17 | 15.5 | 9.7% | Wing |
Kyrie Irving | 9 | vs. CLE | 20 | 18.3 | 9.3% | Point |
Andrea Bargnani | 16 | vs. TOR | 25 | 23.5 | 6.4% | Big |
Danilo Gallinari | 12 | @ DEN | 18 | 17.0 | 5.9% | Wing |
Jamal Crawford | 19 | vs. POR | 14 | 14.0 | 0.0% | Wing |
Ty Lawson | 2 | @ DEN | 15 | 15.5 | -3.2% | Point |
Caron Butler | 13 | vs. LAC | 14 | 14.9 | -6.0% | Wing |
Rudy Gay | 7 | vs. MEM | 17 | 18.9 | -10.1% | Wing |
Kobe Bryant | 1 | @ LAL | 26 | 29.0 | -10.3% | Wing |
Kobe Bryant | 22 | vs. LAL | 26 | 29.0 | -10.3% | Wing |
Danny Granger | 24 | @ IND | 16 | 18.3 | -12.6% | Wing |
Pau Gasol | 10 | vs. LAL | 14 | 16.6 | -15.7% | Big |
Ty Lawson | 12 | @ DEN | 13 | 15.5 | -16.1% | Point |
DeMarcus Cousins | 18 | vs. SAC | 14 | 16.7 | -16.2% | Big |
Kevin Durant | 28 | @ OKC | 21 | 27.6 | -23.9% | Wing |
Deron Williams | 11 | vs. NJN | 16 | 21.7 | -26.3% | Point |
Tony Parker | 4 | @ SAS | 14 | 19.4 | -27.8% | Point |
Russell Westbrook | 28 | @ OKC | 16 | 23.2 | -31.0% | Point |
Kevin Durant | 25 | vs. OKC | 19 | 27.6 | -31.2% | Wing |
David Lee | 8 | @ GSW | 13 | 19.0 | -31.6% | Big |
Kevin Love | 15 | vs. MIN | 15 | 25.6 | -41.4% | Big |
Clearly this is a lot of data to digest, that's why I broke it down into smaller chunks. But there are a few things we can glean from this. Even though the Jazz let some guys go absolutely bonkers on us, the Jazz did hold a number of guys to an outright negative points % diff: Ty Lawson, Caron Butler, Rudy Gay, Kobe twice, Danny Granger, Pau Gasol, and so on. There is a relationship between some guys going crazy and the biggest stars on their teams having an off night. We blew out the Los Angeles Clippers once, and a number of their dudes had poor showing, giving a lot of garbage time for Courtney Fortson to score 13 points, while he normally only scores 4.3 ppg. Another outlier is the Knicks game where Jared Jeffries and Steve Novak got more playing time because of injuries and excused absences to Carmelo Anthony and Amare Stoudemire.
Over all, it doesn't quite resolve in a bell-curve shape. It's highly skewed towards the bad (for us) end, of guys having good scoring nights against us, as seen in a big improvement in Points % diff. Here's what it looks like in terms of standard deviations:
n = 7 | n = 39 | n = 29 | n = 12 | n = 4 | n = 2 | |
Between | Between | Between | Between | Between | Above | |
-2 and -1 STDEV | -1 and 0 STDEV | 0 and +1 STDEV | +1 and +2 STDEV | +2 and +3 STDEV | +3 STDEV | |
1 | Kevin Durant | Arron Afflalo | Manu Ginobili | Lamar Odom | Metta World Peace | Courtney Fortson |
2 | Deron Williams | Pau Gasol | Tony Allen | Linas Kleiza | Steve Novak | Rodigue Beaubois |
3 | Tony Parker | Kris Humphries | Drew Gooden | Rodigue Beaubois | Jared Jeffries | |
4 | Russell Westbrook | Antawn Jamison | DeJuan Blair | Wesley Johnson | Chris Kaman | |
5 | Kevin Durant | James Harden | Nene Hilario | Gustavo Ayon | ||
6 | David Lee | Andre Iguodala | Chris Paul | Darren Collison | ||
7 | Kevin Love | Andrew Bynum | Jarrett Jack | Derrick Williams | ||
8 | Mike Conley | Shawn Marion | Kyle Lowry | |||
9 | Chris Kaman | Jordan Crawford | Jeremy Lin | |||
10 | Al Harrington | Tyreke Evans | Jason Smith | |||
1 | Lou Williams | Jason Thompson | Serge Ibaka | |||
2 | Roy Hibbert | Jimmer Fredette | Serge Ibaka | |||
3 | JaVale McGee | Luis Scola | ||||
4 | Jordan Farmar | Stephen Curry | ||||
5 | Marco Belinelli | Isaiah Thomas | ||||
6 | Dorell Wright | Jrue Holiday | ||||
7 | Jason Terry | Brandon Rush | ||||
8 | David Lee | Stephen Jackson | ||||
9 | Russell Westbrook | Ricky Rubio | ||||
20 | Paul George | Monta Ellis | ||||
1 | Rudy Gay | Blake Griffin | ||||
2 | Marc Gasol | Monta Ellis | ||||
3 | LaMarcus Aldridge | Pau Gasol | ||||
4 | Nicolas Batum | Spencer Hawes | ||||
5 | Leandro Barbosa | John Wall | ||||
6 | DeMar DeRozan | Mo Williams | ||||
7 | Kyrie Irving | Marc Gasol | ||||
8 | Andrea Bargnani | Kobe Bryant | ||||
9 | Danilo Gallinari | Nene Hilario | ||||
30 | Jamal Crawford | |||||
1 | Ty Lawson | |||||
2 | Caron Butler | |||||
3 | Rudy Gay | |||||
4 | Kobe Bryant | |||||
5 | Kobe Bryant | |||||
6 | Danny Granger | |||||
7 | Pau Gasol | |||||
8 | Ty Lawson | |||||
9 | DeMarcus Cousins | |||||
40 |
So, over-all, it appears as that we are doing an okay job against the better guys out there (current and former All-Stars are bolded). That is not what that shows, though. The standard deviations are for the percentage difference, which we already established was +34.7%. The average isn't 0.0%. So, in some cases, being between -1 and 0 standard deviations doesn't mean you are scoring less than your normal ppg. Far from it, Manu scores 12.1 ppg this season, and against the Jazz he scored 23 points. That's a +11.0 difference. I hope understanding this is not too tricky.
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The Bigmen (n = 31)
If you isolate just the bigmen then the averages change, and so do the standard deviations. Here the sample size is 31 players, the average ppg for this group is 13.9 ppg; but they scored on average 19.0 points per player against us. That is a class difference of +5.1 points. The average points % diff was +36.8%.
Points | PPG | % | |||
Player | Gm | Opp | vs. Jazz | '11-12 | Increase |
Jared Jeffries | 23 | @ NYK | 13 | 4.8 | 170.8% |
Chris Kaman | 27 | @ NOR | 27 | 10.9 | 147.7% |
Lamar Odom | 17 | @ DAL | 19 | 7.8 | 143.6% |
Gustavo Ayon | 27 | @ NOR | 13 | 5.7 | 128.1% |
Jason Smith | 5 | vs. NOR | 16 | 8.2 | 95.1% |
Serge Ibaka | 28 | @ OKC | 16 | 8.3 | 92.8% |
Serge Ibaka | 25 | vs. OKC | 16 | 8.3 | 92.8% |
Drew Gooden | 6 | vs. MIL | 24 | 12.7 | 89.0% |
DeJuan Blair | 4 | @ SAS | 17 | 9.0 | 88.9% |
Nene Hilario | 2 | @ DEN | 25 | 13.4 | 86.6% |
Jason Thompson | 18 | vs. SAC | 14 | 7.7 | 81.8% |
Luis Scola | 30 | @ HOU | 26 | 15.2 | 71.1% |
Blake Griffin | 20 | vs. LAC | 31 | 21.2 | 46.2% |
Pau Gasol | 22 | vs. LAL | 24 | 16.6 | 44.6% |
Spencer Hawes | 3 | vs. PHI | 15 | 10.5 | 42.9% |
Marc Gasol | 7 | vs. MEM | 21 | 15.1 | 39.1% |
Nene Hilario | 12 | @ DEN | 18 | 13.4 | 34.3% |
Pau Gasol | 1 | @ LAL | 22 | 16.6 | 32.5% |
Kris Humphries | 11 | vs. NJN | 18 | 13.6 | 32.4% |
Andrew Bynum | 22 | vs. LAL | 21 | 16.3 | 28.8% |
Chris Kaman | 5 | vs. NOR | 14 | 10.9 | 28.4% |
Roy Hibbert | 24 | @ IND | 17 | 13.6 | 25.0% |
JaVale McGee | 29 | vs. WAS | 15 | 12.1 | 24.0% |
David Lee | 21 | @ GSW | 23 | 19.0 | 21.1% |
Marc Gasol | 26 | @ MEM | 17 | 15.1 | 12.6% |
LaMarcus Aldridge | 19 | vs. POR | 25 | 22.5 | 11.1% |
Andrea Bargnani | 16 | vs. TOR | 25 | 23.5 | 6.4% |
Pau Gasol | 10 | vs. LAL | 14 | 16.6 | -15.7% |
DeMarcus Cousins | 18 | vs. SAC | 14 | 16.7 | -16.2% |
David Lee | 8 | @ GSW | 13 | 19.0 | -31.6% |
Kevin Love | 15 | vs. MIN | 15 | 25.6 | -41.4% |
And here are the standard deviations:
Between | Between | Between | Between | Between |
-2 and -1 STDEV | -1 and 0 STDEV | 0 and +1 STDEV | +1 and +2 STDEV | +2 and +3 STDEV |
DeMarcus Cousins | Nene Hilario | DeJuan Blair | Gustavo Ayon | Jared Jeffries |
David Lee | Pau Gasol | Nene Hilario | Jason Smith | Chris Kaman |
Kevin Love | Kris Humphries | Jason Thompson | Serge Ibaka | Lamar Odom |
Andrew Bynum | Luis Scola | Serge Ibaka | ||
Chris Kaman | Blake Griffin | Drew Gooden | ||
Roy Hibbert | Pau Gasol | |||
JaVale McGee | Spencer Hawes | |||
David Lee | Marc Gasol | |||
Marc Gasol | ||||
LaMarcus Aldridge | ||||
Andrea Bargnani | ||||
Pau Gasol |
Again, we see that the players with the largest points % diff jumps aren't the guys who are current or former allstars, but non-stars.When you remove the stars from the list, and re-do the maths, you get a season average of 11.2 ppg that goes up to 17.9 ppg against the Jazz. That is an actual points increase of +6.7 points, which is higher than the bigman total of +5.1 points. The points % diff is also bigger, for the full class it's only +36.8%, and here with the scrub bigs it is +59.2%. Wow. In the case of Ibaka, it could be that we're saying "okay, we'll focus our defense on Kevin and Russ, let Serge beat us," and he's been doing just that.
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Wings (n = 35)
If you isolate just the wings then the averages change, and so do the standard deviations. Here the sample size is 35 players, the average ppg for this group is 14.8 ppg; but they scored on average 18.5 points per player against us. That is a class difference of +3.7 points. The average points % diff was +25.3%. So we "did" better against wings. Actually, we did not. Wings just didn't improve as much as bigs did.
Points | PPG | % | |||
Player | Gm | Opp | vs. Jazz | '11-12 | Increase |
Metta World Peace | 1 | @ LAL | 14 | 4.7 | 197.9% |
Steve Novak | 23 | @ NYK | 19 | 7.0 | 171.4% |
Linas Kleiza | 16 | vs. TOR | 25 | 10.7 | 133.6% |
Wesley Johnson | 15 | vs. MIN | 13 | 5.6 | 132.1% |
Derrick Williams | 15 | vs. MIN | 15 | 7.2 | 108.3% |
Manu Ginobili | 4 | @ SAS | 23 | 12.1 | 90.1% |
Tony Allen | 7 | vs. MEM | 21 | 11.1 | 89.2% |
Shawn Marion | 14 | vs. DAL | 22 | 12.0 | 83.3% |
Jordan Crawford | 29 | vs. WAS | 21 | 11.5 | 82.6% |
Brandon Rush | 8 | @ GSW | 14 | 8.7 | 60.9% |
Stephen Jackson | 6 | vs. MIL | 16 | 10.5 | 52.4% |
Kobe Bryant | 10 | vs. LAL | 40 | 29.0 | 37.9% |
Shawn Marion | 17 | @ DAL | 16 | 12.0 | 33.3% |
Arron Afflalo | 12 | @ DEN | 16 | 12.0 | 33.3% |
Antawn Jamison | 9 | vs. CLE | 22 | 16.7 | 31.7% |
James Harden | 28 | @ OKC | 22 | 16.8 | 31.0% |
Andre Iguodala | 3 | vs. PHI | 16 | 12.4 | 29.0% |
Al Harrington | 2 | @ DEN | 18 | 14.1 | 27.7% |
Marco Belinelli | 27 | @ NOR | 13 | 10.5 | 23.8% |
Dorell Wright | 21 | @ GSW | 13 | 10.6 | 22.6% |
Jason Terry | 17 | @ DAL | 18 | 14.7 | 22.4% |
Paul George | 24 | @ IND | 14 | 11.9 | 17.6% |
Rudy Gay | 26 | @ MEM | 22 | 18.9 | 16.4% |
Nicolas Batum | 19 | vs. POR | 15 | 13.6 | 10.3% |
Leandro Barbosa | 16 | vs. TOR | 13 | 11.8 | 10.2% |
DeMar DeRozan | 16 | vs. TOR | 17 | 15.5 | 9.7% |
Danilo Gallinari | 12 | @ DEN | 18 | 17.0 | 5.9% |
Jamal Crawford | 19 | vs. POR | 14 | 14.0 | 0.0% |
Caron Butler | 13 | vs. LAC | 14 | 14.9 | -6.0% |
Rudy Gay | 7 | vs. MEM | 17 | 18.9 | -10.1% |
Kobe Bryant | 1 | @ LAL | 26 | 29.0 | -10.3% |
Kobe Bryant | 22 | vs. LAL | 26 | 29.0 | -10.3% |
Danny Granger | 24 | @ IND | 16 | 18.3 | -12.6% |
Kevin Durant | 28 | @ OKC | 21 | 27.6 | -23.9% |
Kevin Durant | 25 | vs. OKC | 19 | 27.6 | -31.2% |
And here are the standard deviations:
Between | Between | Between | Between | Between | Above |
-2 and -1 STDEV | -1 and 0 STDEV | 0 and +1 STDEV | +1 and +2 STDEV | +2 and +3 STDEV | +3 STDEV |
Kevin Durant | Marco Belinelli | Brandon Rush | Linas Kleiza | Steve Novak | Metta World Peace |
Dorell Wright | Stephen Jackson | Wesley Johnson | |||
Jason Terry | Kobe Bryant | Derrick Williams | |||
Paul George | Shawn Marion | Manu Ginobili | |||
Rudy Gay | Arron Afflalo | Tony Allen | |||
Nicolas Batum | Antawn Jamison | Shawn Marion | |||
Leandro Barbosa | James Harden | Jordan Crawford | |||
DeMar DeRozan | Andre Iguodala | ||||
Danilo Gallinari | Al Harrington | ||||
Jamal Crawford | |||||
Caron Butler | |||||
Rudy Gay | |||||
Kobe Bryant | |||||
Kobe Bryant | |||||
Danny Granger | |||||
Kevin Durant |
METTA! WORLD! PEACE! (Remember Kevin Harlan's call?) Yeah, the Jazz kept guys like Durant and Dirk low, only to let guys like Ibaka and Marion go off. There appears to be some give and take here. What about just the non-stars? When you remove the stars from the list, and re-do the maths, you get a season average of 11.8 ppg that goes up to 16.9 ppg against the Jazz. That is an actual points increase of +5.1 points, which is higher than the full wing player total of +3.7 points. The points % diff is also bigger, for the full class it's only +25.3%, and here with the scrub wings it is +43.3%. Again, we're getting killed by the non-stars.
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Point Guards (n = 28)
We all have an innate fear of opposing points guards, mainly because of horrible dribble penetration defense. If you isolate just the points then the averages change, and so do the standard deviations. Here the sample size is 28 players, the average ppg for this group is 15.0 ppg; but they scored on average 21.6 points per player against us. That is a class difference of +6.6 points. The average points % diff was +44.3%. So we are getting smoked. Glad we continue to start Devin Harris, his defensive stats on MySynergySports are classified by the UN as a war-crime.
Player | Gm | Opp | vs. Jazz | '11-12 | Increase |
Courtney Fortson | 13 | vs. LAC | 13 | 4.3 | 202.3% |
Rodigue Beaubois | 17 | @ DAL | 22 | 7.3 | 201.4% |
Rodigue Beaubois | 14 | vs. DAL | 17 | 7.3 | 132.9% |
Darren Collison | 24 | @ IND | 25 | 11.3 | 121.2% |
Kyle Lowry | 30 | @ HOU | 32 | 15.4 | 107.8% |
Jeremy Lin | 23 | @ NYK | 28 | 14.3 | 95.8% |
Chris Paul | 20 | vs. LAC | 34 | 18.3 | 85.8% |
Jarrett Jack | 5 | vs. NOR | 27 | 14.7 | 83.7% |
Tyreke Evans | 18 | vs. SAC | 31 | 17.0 | 82.4% |
Jimmer Fredette | 18 | vs. SAC | 14 | 8.0 | 75.0% |
Stephen Curry | 21 | @ GSW | 29 | 17.2 | 68.6% |
Isaiah Thomas | 18 | vs. SAC | 13 | 7.9 | 64.6% |
Jrue Holiday | 3 | vs. PHI | 22 | 13.6 | 61.8% |
Ricky Rubio | 15 | vs. MIN | 17 | 11.3 | 50.4% |
Monta Ellis | 21 | @ GSW | 33 | 22.0 | 50.0% |
Monta Ellis | 8 | @ GSW | 32 | 22.0 | 45.5% |
John Wall | 29 | vs. WAS | 24 | 16.9 | 42.0% |
Mo Williams | 20 | vs. LAC | 19 | 13.5 | 40.7% |
Mike Conley | 26 | @ MEM | 17 | 13.2 | 28.8% |
Lou Williams | 3 | vs. PHI | 20 | 15.9 | 25.8% |
Jordan Farmar | 11 | vs. NJN | 13 | 10.5 | 23.8% |
Russell Westbrook | 25 | vs. OKC | 28 | 23.2 | 20.7% |
Kyrie Irving | 9 | vs. CLE | 20 | 18.3 | 9.3% |
Ty Lawson | 2 | @ DEN | 15 | 15.5 | -3.2% |
Ty Lawson | 12 | @ DEN | 13 | 15.5 | -16.1% |
Deron Williams | 11 | vs. NJN | 16 | 21.7 | -26.3% |
Tony Parker | 4 | @ SAS | 14 | 19.4 | -27.8% |
Russell Westbrook | 28 | @ OKC | 16 | 23.2 | -31.0% |
And here are the standard deviations:
Between | Between | Between | Between | Between |
-2 and -1 STDEV | -1 and 0 STDEV | 0 and +1 STDEV | +1 and +2 STDEV | +2 and +3 STDEV |
Ty Lawson | John Wall | Jeremy Lin | Rodigue Beaubois | Courtney Fortson |
Deron Williams | Mo Williams | Chris Paul | Darren Collison | Rodigue Beaubois |
Tony Parker | Mike Conley | Jarrett Jack | Kyle Lowry | |
Russell Westbrook | Lou Williams | Tyreke Evans | ||
Jordan Farmar | Jimmer Fredette | |||
Russell Westbrook | Stephen Curry | |||
Kyrie Irving | Isaiah Thomas | |||
Ty Lawson | Jrue Holiday | |||
Ricky Rubio | ||||
Monta Ellis | ||||
Monta Ellis |
Wow, we've somehow kept the better ones from murdering us. You know, besides the +6.6 ppg thing for point guards scoring against the Jazz thing. What about just the non-stars? When you remove the stars from the list, and re-do the maths, you get a season average of 13.6 ppg that goes up to 21.6ppg against the Jazz. That is an actual points increase of +8.0 points, which is higher than the full wing player total of +6.6 points. The points % diff is also bigger, for the full class it's only +44.3%, and here with the scrub wings it is +58.5%.
Seriously, +8.0 points . I know, "Hide yo kids, hide yo wife . . . "
The Breakdown:
All Players:
Average PPG | Average PPG | Points | Percentage | |
(Season Avgs) | (vs. Jazz) | Diff. | Difference | |
PF, C | 13.9 | 19.0 | +5.1 | +36.8% |
SG, SF | 14.8 | 18.5 | +3.7 | +25.3% |
PG | 15.0 | 21.6 | +6.6 | +44.3% |
Non-Stars:
Average PPG | Average PPG | Points | Percentage | |
(Season Avgs) | (vs. Jazz) | Diff. | Difference | |
PF, C | 11.2 | 17.9 | +6.7 | +59.2% |
SG, SF | 11.8 | 16.9 | +5.1 | +43.3% |
PG | 13.6 | 21.6 | +8.0 | +58.5% |
Does this mean that the Jazz do a good job on the stars? Not really, guys like Blake, Westbrook, and Kobe all hung 30 (or close to it) on us, and none average 30 a game. Does this mean the Jazz get killed by non-stars? Yes. particularly PGs. The initial worry was that non-star PGs hurt the Jazz. The numbers don't lie. Just like the numbers showing how bloggisists are scooping print publications. Maybe the Jazz should give us some media credentials so we can cover the team better.? Better than our team is covering opposing points at least.