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The Downbeat #1112: The Happy Schedule Day Edition

In which we discuss the release of the 2013-14 NBA schedule and how it will (or won't) affect the Jazz season. Also: FanPosts, free agents, and dolla dolla bills, y'all.

Jazz fans will be seeing a lot of this man on the opposing sideline in November.
Jazz fans will be seeing a lot of this man on the opposing sideline in November.

Okay, so technically, Tuesday was your Happy Schedule Day. And even more technically, there wasn't much happy about it:

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p>Just eyeballing the schedule and I totally take back my statistical prediction for the season. I think the Jazz win 20-25 games.</p>&mdash; Mychal Lowman (@My_Lo) <a href="">August 6, 2013</a></blockquote>

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David Locke wasn't too positive in his brief schedule breakdown, either. To wit:

This is one of the toughest schedules I have seen. The youngsters are going to be tested early and often. The back to backs are brutal. The travel at times is horrendous and there are numerous serious tests on the schedule.

I'm not usually one for reading too much into schedule analysis. It might help the team prepare if they know the specific challenges of a certain road trip or back-to-back or whatever, but circumstances change, mindsets change, players get hot or cold...there are just too many variables. The ups and downs of scheduling pretty much even out for every team.

Having said that...the Jazz have a tough November ahead of them, with home-and-home series against OKC, Golden State, New Orleans, Chicago, and a Phoenix trifecta (one home, two away). We'll be seeing a lot of Coach Horny quickly, I guess.

Other items of scheduling interest:

-- Now Atlanta Hawks, Paul Millsap and DeMarre Carroll make their only return to SLC on March 10

-- D-Will and Brooklyn visit on February 19

-- So many early matchups with Phoenix and Sacramento may determine an odds-on favorite in the Andrew Wiggins sweepstakes

That's about all I've got for now, but rest assured: we have TOP MEN working on a complete schedule breakdown as you read this. TOP MEN, I SAY. (And by that I mostly mean Amar. He's kind of insane about this sort of thing. In a good way.)

What else sticks out to you? How many wins do you see for the Jazz?

Twitter All-Star @davidjsmith1232 directed my attention to this offseason analysis piece from's David Aldridge, who rates the Jazz second-to-last in the league. His reasoning:

The Jazz's difficulty in attracting free agents, again, impacted the team's on-court decisions. The decision to pull the trigger on the three-team deal with Denver and Golden State that brought Jefferson, Biedrins and Rush from the Warriors was, in part, a nod to the reality that Utah wasn't going to convince anyone of consequence to come play there next season.

My response was thus:

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p><a href="">@davidjsmith1232</a> <a href="">@daldridgetnt</a> yeah, I&#39;m confused by his emphasis on that point. The Jazz didn&#39;t WANT any of this year&#39;s big-name FAs.</p>&mdash; Layton Shumway (@theshums) <a href="">August 6, 2013</a></blockquote>

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This sparked a loooooooooong Twitter thread, which I'm too lazy to Storify properly right now but is available for your perusal right here. (Be warned: It also includes a rehash of the hypothetical James Harden trade. Apparently we're STILL not bored of talking about that.)

Community time! (No, not that Community. Although that one is awesome, too.)

Beeblebrox42 (love the name!) has cooked up a two-part series comparing the rosters of the bottom nine teams in the SB Nation rankings:

Overall, our starting 5 are projected to be the third to fifth worst in the league. If that also reflects our standing in the league, that would put us at about 24 wins. We can argue that we'll be better, that our players will improve more than I've projected here, or that Trey Burke will be far better than other rookies. All of those things may happen, but as far as I can tell, the stats show that our starting 5 will not taking us out of the basement.

Next, I'll let Patrick Alexander's "Flagrantly Early, Incredibly Half-Baked NBA Predictions" speak for themselves:

For a team devoid of a superstar, it makes perfect sense for the Jazz to start "Riggin’ for Wiggins" when things go south. Plus it’s a stacked 2014 FA class that the Jazz could possibly take advantage of. But finishing in the lottery for consecutive seasons rarely means keeping your job. Just ask Byron Scott, Mike Dunlap, or Lawrence Frank who all were fired last year.

Finally, BobbyD31 gives a touching farewell to the 2012-13 Jazz roster by assigning each player...a Taylor Swift song.

Some things I happily say goodbye too and others it is very bitter sweet, but basketball at this level is a business and the only thing constant in business is change. Who better to help us in talking about a break up than Taylor Swift.

Yeah. That just happened.

(Keep writing those FanPosts, kids! I love reading all of 'em!)

The Jazz might have mo' problems as far as win-loss record next season, but as Andy Larsen, Fell Lord Of Salt City Hoops, tells us, they'll also have mo' money:

So whereas the majority of NBA teams are sharing about 50% of their revenues into the pool, the smallest market teams appear to be sharing only 15%. According to the Nielsen TV market size estimates for 2013, there are 5 NBA markets that have fewer than 1 million TV households: New Orleans, Memphis, Oklahoma City, San Antonio, and Salt Lake City. Despite this, each team gets an equal 1/30th share back from the revenue sharing pool. According to my reading of Coon’s CBA FAQ, that means that the Jazz stand to make significantly more revenue sharing money than their bigger-market counterparts.

Be sure to click through for the whole analysis. Especially if you like numbers. And money. And Biggie Smalls.

You know I love the Jazz, but you may not know I also love jazz music. Depending on your opinion of next season's outlook, the title of this track may or may not be appropriate.

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