clock menu more-arrow no yes mobile

Filed under:

Utah Jazz are not in panic mode after a winning just 5 games, and here's why

The Utah Jazz have started the season 5-12, and it's not time to panic

Richard Rowe-USA TODAY Sports

Years ago on this site, on the radio, on TV, on social media, and other places people debated about two things: the "Memphis Grizzlies model" and the "Oklahoma City model". Our old GM, now an executive, Kevin O'Connor wanted to patch things together with vets and see if they could grit and grind into contention. It never happened. Our current GM, Dennis Lindsey, knows that is as unlikely as drafting three straight All-Stars in the lottery. But even the wise Randy Rigby knows that now is not the time to skip steps. Lindsey got his coach, after the first coaching search in Jazz history since before Frank Layden, in Quin Snyder. They have drafted well, have the right developmentally minded head coach, and a front office that's FINALLY on board with building a team *from scratch* through the draft.

There are no band-aids on this team, no "almost-stars" to hitch a one season rental to. And as a result, well, the results aren't going to be pretty. But there's no need to panic. Not yet. The Utah Jazz are on the right track.

Why am I so confident? I am, because there's this thing called having a plan. And the Jazz have one.

Utah collected assets from recent drafts: Derrick Favors (2010), Gordon Hayward (2010), Enes Kanter (2011), Alec Burks (2011), Trey Burke (2013), and most recently Dante Exum (2014). They also drafted wisely outside of the lotto: Rudy Gobert (2013), Rodney Hood (2014). Of the lotto picks three of the four who were eligible for contract extensions are on the books for years and years more. Maybe making their market value smaller than it could have been by playing them less worked out? We'll see if they can sign everyone in time, but right now there is a good balance of paid youth and rookie contract youth. And for a team that's still looking for stars to build around it has worked out well. Or potentially it will, this is still a team with five wins.

But you know what? The Seattle Supersonics / Oklahoma City Thunder had their share of problems too.

They started things off in 2007-2008 by giving big playing time to young guys. That team went 20-62, and finished November with a 3-14 record.

2007 2008 20 - 62
Pos Player Age Mins G MPG
1 Earl Watson 28 2,269 78 29.09
2 Kevin Durant 19 2,768 80 34.60
3 Jeff Green 21 2,253 80 28.16
4 Nick Collison 27 2,223 78 28.50
5 Chris Wilcox 25 1,739 62 28.05
Avg Age 24.00 2,250.40 75.60 29.77
Pos Player Age Mins G MPG
1 Luke Ridnour 26 1,223 61 20.05
2 Wally Szczerbiak 30 1,180 50 23.60
3 Damien Wilkins 28 1,843 76 24.25
4 Kurt Thomas 35 1,060 42 25.24
5 Johan Petro 22 1,310 72 18.19
Avg Age 28.20 1,323.20 60.20 21.98

Then the next season, 2008-2009, had an even YOUNGER starting lineup, and went 23-59. They would go only 2-16 by November 30th.

2008 2009 23 - 59
Pos Player Age Mins G MPG
1 Russell Westbrook 20 2,668 82 32.54
2 Kevin Durant 20 2,885 74 38.99
3 Jeff Green 22 2,873 78 36.83
4 Nick Collison 28 1,831 71 25.79
5 Nenad Krstic 25 1,141 46 24.80
Avg Age 23.00 2,279.60 70.20 32.47
Pos Player Age Mins G MPG
1 Earl Watson 29 1,776 68 26.12
2 Kyle Weaver 22 1,166 56 20.82
3 Desmond Mason 31 1,064 39 27.28
4 Joe Smith 33 691 36 19.19
5 Chris Wilcox 26 719 37 19.43
Avg Age 28.20 1,083.20 47.20 22.95

However, the season after that, 2009-2010, playing all the youth all those minutes early payed off. They fast tracked their development by finally playing them -- and their 50-32 season looks great today. It looks even better when you recognize that they started it 9-8 by November 30th.

2009 2010 50 - 32
Pos Player Age Mins G MPG
1 Russell Westbrook 21 2,813 82 34.30
2 Thabo Sefolosha 25 2,348 82 28.63
3 Kevin Durant 21 3,239 82 39.50
4 Jeff Green 23 3,043 82 37.11
5 Nenad Krstic 26 1,741 76 22.91
Avg Age 23.20 2,636.80 80.80 32.63
Pos Player Age Mins G MPG
1 Eric Maynor 22 906 55 16.47
2 James Harden 20 1,738 76 22.87
3 Kevin Ollie 37 263 25 10.52
4 Nick Collison 29 1,557 75 20.76
5 Serge Ibaka 20 1,323 73 18.12
Avg Age 25.60 1,157.40 60.80 19.04

Eventually things paid off, but they went for 20 wins then 23 wins. They also started EARLIER in giving their future a present. The Jazz are waay behind in this, as I've asserted for years. (But oh, look at that, the Jazz front office went with what I wanted, not the other way around. I guess that's just me being lucky.)

So what about last seasons' Jazz? That team was the first Jazz team to let their younger guys play big minutes. They went 25-57, and started the season 3-15 by November 30th.

2013 2014 25 - 57
Pos Player Age Mins G MPG
1 Trey Burke 21 2,262 70 32.31
2 Gordon Hayward 23 2,800 77 36.36
3 Richard Jefferson 33 2,213 82 26.99
4 Marvin Williams 27 1,674 66 25.36
5 Derrick Favors 22 2,201 73 30.15
Avg Age 25.20 2,230.00 73.60 30.30
Pos Player Age Mins G MPG
1 Diante Garrett 25 1,048 71 14.76
2 Alec Burks 22 2,193 78 28.12
3 Brandon Rush 28 418 38 11.00
4 Jeremy Evans 26 1,209 66 18.32
5 Enes Kanter 21 2,138 80 26.73
Avg Age 24.40 1,401.20 66.60 21.04

Their average age of the starting lineup was 25.20, which is more than the starters for OKC over the presented three seasons. However, their bench had an average age of 24.40, which is years younger than that of what OKC had going for it. An aside is, hmmm, I wonder how Marvin and RJ would have done as bench players? But that's an aside we'll never have to face now.

2014 2015 5 - 12
Pos Player Age Mins G MPG
1 Trey Burke 22 544 17 32.00
2 Alec Burks 23 568 17 33.41
3 Gordon Hayward 24 588 17 34.59
4 Enes Kanter 22 413 17 24.29
5 Derrick Favors 23 529 17 31.12
Avg Age 22.80 528.40 17.00 31.08
Pos Player Age Mins G MPG
1 Dante Exum 19 312 17 18.35
2 Joe Ingles 27 309 17 18.18
3 Rodney Hood 22 105 7 15.00
4 Trevor Booker 27 346 17 20.35
5 Rudy Gobert 22 269 17 15.82
Avg Age 23.40 268.20 15.00 17.88

This season the Jazz are 5-12. That is by far the BEST record out of all of these individual clubs. They have an average age that is 22.80, which is the YOUNGEST out of all the five clubs too. Oh, and the average age of their bench is 23.40, which is ALSO the youngest. This is a young team, and a team that is soaking up experience right now. Some of the guys are in their 5th year, but FINALLY getting a chance to play. Some of the guys are rookies, and figuring things out at the same time.

Utah's biggest star right now is Gordon, but he's not at the KD level. Similarly, I don't think it's right to expect the Jazz to win 50 games next season. But I do think that with a 100% committal to the youth, including PLAYING THEM, it's going to work out. The team is behind on development, but ahead in wins right now. There's more balance with the roster youth, and there are no crutches this season on grizzled old guys.

The Thunder only had enough money for Durant, Westbrook, and Ibaka. This Jazz team seems to have managed their money better, and spread it out more. With the expanding cap they could have money for the majority of these young guys -- even if they have to Jeff Green one of them in a trade to another team for a starter. But hey, they have the pieces and assets to move if they want to. (And they should keep that option open)

Utah has only 5 wins at this point in the season. It's not the number we want, but this isn't the season we need to put our hopes on. Our team is building for the long haul. Stay patient. Let the guys make mistakes (coach included). In a few seasons we'll be one of the hardest outs in the Western Conference playoffs, and with the salary structure to maintain these guys during their physical peaks -- not just their early 20s.

And yes, it was the OKC method that our front office decided to go with. Even if it needed a GM change to make sure it happened.