Chandler Hutchison is a 22-year old senior with a solid all-around game. He can score, rebound, pass, shoot, and defend a little bit. He withdrew from the NBA draft combine after reportedly receiving a 1st-round promise from an NBA team, so we don’t have official NBA measurements, but he’s listed at 6’7” with a 7’1” wingspan and weighs in at around 200 pounds. Solid size for an NBA wing, and possible small ball 4 if he can add a bit of muscle to his frame.
In his senior season at Boise State, Hutchison put up an impressive all-around stat line of 20pts/7.7reb/3.5ast/1.5stl/0.3blk per game with shooting splits of 48/36/73. Not bad for a guy with a 33.2% usage rate on a team with only 2 other double-digit scorers and no other rotation players with a usage rate above 20. Hutchison’s advanced stats also look really solid across the board:
Hutchison grades out really well in WS/48 and box plus/minus, and his combination of USG% and TS% is impressive. His defensive rebounding and steal rate are two areas that typically translate well into the NBA game, so those are promising signs as well.
Per 40 this season, Hutchison produced 25.8 points, 9.9 rebounds, 4.5 assists, 1.9 steals, and 0.3 blocks (per sports-reference.com).
Versatility, dribble penetration, finishing at the rim, above-the-rim player, wingspan.
Versatility: Hutchison led his team in points, rebounds, assists, and steals per game, and was 3rd in blocks per game. Hutch can fill up a stat sheet.
Dribble penetration: Hutchison shot 47.5% on drives this season. He’s good at attacking closeouts off the dribble, and when he gets to the rim...
Finishing inside: Hutchison shot 72% at the rim, good for 2nd best among wing prospects (behind Keita Bates-Diop).
A comparison of Chandler Hutchison's shooting rates and percentages to other first-round guard and wing prospects: pic.twitter.com/L2ONpYesXl— Eli Boettger (@boettger_eli) May 20, 2018
Above-the-rim player: Hutchison’s elite finishing at the rim is no accident. He’s a great leaper and is able to finish with authority in traffic either off the dribble or off lobs. That opens up a lot of options offensively.
Wingspan: Hutchison has an impressive 7’1” wingspan. That’s elite for a wing, and it’s right around league average for an NBA 4. Hutchison’s size and length means he has small ball potential if he can put on a bit of muscle. He’s listed at around 200, but he looks like he’s closer to 210 (Mikal Bridges is also listed at 200, and Hutchison looks much thicker).
Age, shooting off the dribble, mid-range game
Age: Hutchison is already 22, and conventional wisdom says he’s a bit closer to his ceiling than younger prospects. That’s not necessarily a bad thing for a team like the Utah Jazz, who may be looking for a more NBA-ready player at this point in their timeline.
Shooting off the dribble: His shooting form isn’t as smooth or fluid when he shoots off the dribble, particularly from mid-range...
Mid-range game: As seen in the chart above, Hutchison took a relatively high number of 2-point jumpers, and converted them at a paltry 34.2% clip. The mid-range game isn’t a huge part of modern offenses in the NBA, but it could cause problems if he feels like it’s a part of his toolkit when it’s actually something he struggles with.
Utah Jazz Fit?
Abso-freaking-lutely. His work ethic is evident in his continued improvement year after year. He worked alongside Phil Beckner in 2016-17 and 2017-18 (Beckner was an assistant coach at Weber State, and played a critical role in player development while there - specifically with Damian Lillard, who Jazz fans are familiar with). Hutchison is versatile, with few real holes in his game, and his all-around game would fit in well with Snyder’s ball-sharing offensive attack. He’s long, and has good “switchability” potential at the next level. He’s more NBA ready than a lot of other prospects will be, which plays in Utah’s favor at this point. He’s from a town about the size of Orem, UT and he played at a smaller school, so there’s a good chance he doesn’t care about the limelight or city night life.
Likelihood Utah drafts him
If he’s available when Utah is on the clock at 21, I think he’s the most likely choice. I put the chances of him being the pick at around 75%. Hutchison is this year’s Kyle Kuzma, considered one of the possible steals/gems of the draft. Barring an opportunity to trade up and get a higher-priority target (please, Denver?), I think this player at 21 makes the most sense for Utah.