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NBA Mock Draft 2015 - Consensus Mock 4.0 (Post Lottery Odds Order)

March Madness has come and gone, and so has the NBA Regular season. Coin flips are done too! So now we have a new updated Mock Draft to argue over!

By AllThatAmar
Rob Kinnan-USA TODAY Sports

The NBA Draft comes closer and closer, and I gotta book my plane tickets. But before I can cover the event a lot of things still need to happen. First, all of the NCAA (and International) players who are NBA Draft eligible need to figure out if they are throwing their hat in the ring or not. We're getting news of several NCAA players pulling out like Caris LaVert of Michigan, Kaleb Tarczewski of Arizona, and Jakob Poeltl of Utah. More will come in the following days. This is also true for international players, Mario Hezonja pulled out of the draft process LAST Season pretty late in the game, and he was slotted to be 1st rounder. Second, we have to go over a ton of mock drafts before the actual one in June happens. As a "draft guy" I get to meet lots of other Hoopheads who have the same problem. And the Consensus Mock 4.0 takes in a lot of their combined information. All-in-all, it's the calculated average draft spot after looking at 1110 different draft spots. And the source material is the most updated info from ESPN (Chad Ford), Draft Express (Jonathan Givony), CBS (Gary Parrish, Sam Vecenie, Zach Harper), The Sporting News (Sean Deveney), Sports Illustrated (Chris Mannix), and USA Today (Derek Bodner); and web-only publications Bleacher Report (Jonathan Wasserman, Rob Goldberg), FanSided (Josh Hill), HoopsHype (?), The Lottery Mafia (Zach Reynolds), MyNBADraft.com, NBADraft.net, SB Nation (Kevin O'Connor, me), and Walter Football (Paul Banks of the Washington Times, and David Kay of The Sports Bank).

Now that I've written enough for Google to index this post, let's get on to player rankings.

Tier I - Top 15:

Player Ht Wt Pos Age Ex College AVG STDEV Mock n =
1 Karl-Anthony Towns 7 0 84 248 5 19.3 1 Kentucky 1.45 ± 0.76 20
2 Jahlil Okafor 6 11 83 272 5 19.2 1 Duke 1.80 ± 0.62 20
3 D'Angelo Russell 6 5 77 175 1 2 19.0 1 Ohio State 3.45 ± 1.15 20
4 Emmanuel Mudiay 6 5 77 200 1 2 19.0 -- INTL (CHINA) 3.95 ± 1.05 20
5 Justise Winslow 6 7 79 229 3 18.9 1 Duke 5.75 ± 2.24 20
6 Kristaps Porzingis 7 0 84 220 4 19.6 -- INTL (LATVIA) 7.65 ± 2.41 20
7 Stanley Johnson 6 8 80 243 3 18.8 1 Arizona 7.70 ± 1.72 20
8 Willie Cauley-Stein 7 0 84 244 5 21.5 3 Kentucky 8.05 ± 2.67 20
9 Mario Hezonja 6 8 80 200 2 3 20.0 -- INTL (CROATIA) 8.60 ± 2.58 20
10 Myles Turner 6 11 83 242 5 18.9 1 Texas 11.05 ± 3.27 20
11 Kelly Oubre Jr. 6 6 78 204 3 19.2 1 Kansas 12.15 ± 2.54 20
12 Frank Kaminsky 7 0 84 242 4 21.9 4 Wisconsin 12.40 ± 2.85 20
13 Kevon Looney 6 9 81 220 4 19.1 1 UCLA 14.40 ± 4.72 20
14 Trey Lyles 6 10 82 250 4 19.3 1 Kentucky 15.40 ± 3.94 20
15 Devin Booker 6 5 77 186 2 18.3 1 Kentucky 16.05 ± 4.25 19

No big surprises here, the Top 15 players are ranked in 19/20 mock drafts. We have the highest amount of certainty here because of the sample size.

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Tier II - Rank 16-30:

Player Ht Wt Pos Age Ex College AVG STDEV Mock n =
16 Bobby Portis 6 10 82 235 4 20.0 2 Arkansas 17.06 ± 3.35 18
17 Jerian Grant 6 5 77 204 1 22.4 4 Notre Dame 17.35 ± 4.30 20
18 Sam Dekker 6 9 81 229 3 20.8 3 Wisconsin 17.60 ± 5.15 20
19 Kris Dunn 6 4 76 205 1 21.0 2 Providence 20.06 ± 7.19 18
20 Tyus Jones 6 1 73 184 1 18.8 1 Duke 21.00 ± 3.67 20
21 Montrezl Harrell 6 8 80 230 4 21.1 3 Louisville 21.05 ± 3.95 20
22 Cameron Payne 6 2 74 180 1 21.0 3 Murray St 22.00 ± 5.42 16
23 Rondae Hollis-Jefferson 6 7 79 212 3 20.2 2 Arizona 22.55 ± 4.10 20
24 R.J. Hunter 6 5 77 180 2 21.3 3 Georgia St 24.84 ± 3.95 19
25 Christian Wood 6 11 83 220 4 19.4 2 UNLV 24.94 ± 4.24 18
26 Justin Anderson 6 6 78 222 3 21.3 1 Virginia 27.19 ± 3.78 16
27 Delon Wright 6 5 77 179 1 22.8 4 Utah 27.42 ± 4.71 19
28 Cliff Alexander 6 9 81 254 4 5 19.3 1 Kansas 28.29 ± 4.31 17
29 Terry Rozier 6 2 74 189 1 21.0 2 Louisville 29.13 ± 6.41 16
30 Jarrell Martin 6 10 82 4 2 LSU 29.30 ± 8.15 10

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Tier III - Rank 31-45:

Player Ht Wt Pos Age Ex College AVG STDEV Mock n =
31 Jarell Martin 6 7 79 242 4 20.8 2 LSU 31.86 ± 6.67 7
32 Chris McCullough 6 9 81 200 4 20.0 1 Syracuse 33.18 ± 5.65 11
33 Dakari Johnson 6 11 83 263 5 19.4 2 Kentucky 34.29 ± 4.03 14
34 Zhou Qi 7 1 85 215 5 19.0 -- INTL (CHINA) 34.33 ± 18.15 3
35 Damian Jones 6 10 82 248 4 5 19.7 2 Vanderbilt 35.00 ± 12.53 3
36 Nigel Hayes 6 7 79 235 4 20.2 2 Wisconsin 35.00 ± --
 1
37 Robert Upshaw 7 0 84 264 5 21.1 2 Washington 35.85 ± 7.07 13
38 Buddy Hield 6 4 76 214 2 21.2 3 Oklahoma 36.23 ± 8.20 13
39 Egemen Guven 6 9 81 210 4 18.0 -- INTL (TURKEY) 36.67 ± 3.51 3
40 Travis Trice 6 0 72 1 4 Michigan St 37.00 ± -- 1
41 Amida Brimah 7 0 84 230 5 21.0 2 UCONN 38.33 ± 4.73 3
42 Jabari Bird 6 6 78 190 2 20.0 2 California 39.00 ± -- 1
43 Rashad Vaughn 6 5 77 200 2 18.5 1 UNLV 39.21 ± 7.22 14
44 George Lucas De Paula 6 5 77 196 1 18.8 -- INTL (BRAZIL) 39.91 ± 13.32 11
45 Tyrone Wallace 6 5 77 200 1 20.7 3 California 40.27 ± 9.86 11

There is significant uncertainty here with a number of players appearing in three or fewer mock drafts. I may cull these guys next round if they don't gain more traction.

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Tier IV - Rank Picks 46-60:

Player Ht Wt Pos Age Ex College AVG STDEV Mock n =
46 Timothe Luwawu 6 7 79 205 2 19.8 -- INTL (FRANCE) 40.89 ± 10.17 9
47 Justin Jackson 6 7 79 168 3 19.9 1 North Carolina 41.00 ± 7.07 2
48 Aleksandar Vezenkov 6 8 80 200 3 19.6 -- INTL (CYPRUS/BULGARIA) 42.20 ± 11.63 10
49 Kennedy Meeks 6 9 81 279 5 20.1 2 North Carolina 42.67 ± 3.21 3
50 Norman Powell 6 3 75 199 2 21.8 4 UCLA 43.42 ± 11.18 12
51 Domantas Sabonis 6 10 82 231 4 19.0 1 Gonzaga 44.00 ± 8.49 2
52 Jordan Mickey 6 7 79 234 4 5 20.6 2 LSU 44.50 ± 11.66 10
53 Anthony Brown 6 7 79 207 3 22.4 4 Stanford 45.33 ± 5.43 12
54 Andrew Harrison 6 5 77 207 1 2 20.4 2 Kentucky 46.40 ± 4.88 10
55 Guillermo Hernangomez 6 11 83 255 5 20.6 -- INTL (SPAIN) 46.55 ± 6.15 11
56 James Blackmon Jr. 6 3 75 190 2 19.0 1 Indiana 47.33 ± 13.65 3
57 Petr Cornelie 6 9 81 220 4 19.0 INTL (FRANCE) 47.83 ± 9.70 6
58 Romelo Trimble 6 3 75 190 1 20.1 1 Maryland 48.00 ± -- 1
59 Mouhammadou Jaiteh 6 11 83 249 5 20.3 -- INTL (FRANCE) 48.50 ± 6.84 10
60 Marcus Paige 6 2 74 156 1 21.5 3 North Carolina 49.00 ± 9.49 4

Of course when you document something like this you can't be too hasty. Before March Madness only DX had Luwawu in their Top 100. A month later he's on 9 mock drafts.

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Tier V - Rank 61-75:

Player Ht Wt Pos Age Ex College AVG STDEV Mock n =
61 Cedi Osman 6 8 80 190 3 19.9 -- INTL (MACEDONIA) 49.08 ± 4.14 12
62 Joseph Young 6 3 75 185 2 22.0 4 Oregon 49.38 ± 8.14 8
63 Tyler Harvery 6 4 76 185 2 21.0 2 Eastern Washington 50.00 ± 11.85 9
64 Brice Johnson 6 9 81 185 4 20.7 3 North Carolina 50.00 ± 14.14 2
65 Corey Hawkins 0 2 UC Davis 50.00 ± -- 1
66 Moussa Diagne 6 10 82 218 5 21.0 -- INTL (SENEGAL) 50.50 ± 15.63 8
67 Richaun Holmes 6 10 82 236 4 21.5 4 Bowling Green 50.50 ± 0.71 2
68 J.P. Tokoto 6 6 78 200 2 21.5 3 North Carolina 50.89 ± 6.13 9
69 Chris Walker 6 9 81 205 4 20.2 2 Florida 51.00 ± -- 1
70 Michael Qualls 6 6 78 198 2 21.1 3 Arkansas 51.50 ± 13.52 8
71 Aaron Harrison 6 6 78 212 2 20.0 2 Kentucky 52.22 ± 10.77 9
72 Aaron White 6 9 81 225 4 22.5 4 Iowa 53.00 ± 11.82 7
73 LaDontae Henton 6 6 78 215 3 23.0 4 Providence 53.00 ± -- 1
74 Fred VanVleet 6 0 72 197 1 21.0 3 Wichita St. 53.00 ± -- 1
75 Rakeem Christmas 6 9 81 226 4 5 23.2 4 Syracuse 53.13 ± 10.79 8

The NBA Draft is only 60 players, so when you go past 60 players here you are essentially venturing into unknown territory. And really, the knowns are outnumbered by the unknowns at this tier.

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Tier VI - Rank 76-100

Player Ht Wt Pos Age Ex College AVG STDEV Mock n =
76 Wang Zhelin 7 0 84 251 5 21.1 -- INTL (CHINA) 54.00 ± -- 1
77 Olivier Hanlan 6 4 76 188 1 2 22.0 3 Boston College 54.30 ± 9.87 10
78 Shawn Long 6 10 82 256 5 22.1 3 LA Lafayette 54.50 ± 4.80 4
79 Nedim Buza 6 7 79 190 3 19.8 -- INTL (BOSNIA) 55.25 ± 10.48 8
80 Yogi Ferrell 6 0 72 178 1 21.8 3 Indiana 56.00 ± 19.41 9
81 Rayvonte Rice 6 4 76 230 2 20.0 Illinois 56.00 ± -- 1
82 Alpha Kaba 6 10 82 225 4 5 19.2 INTL (FRANCE) 56.33 ± 13.01 3
83 Vince Hunter 6 8 80 200 4 20.0 2 UTEP 56.40 ± 10.50 5
84 Nikola Milutinov 6 11 83 220 5 20.2 -- INTL (SERBIA) 56.56 ± 6.50 9
85 Michael Frazier II 6 4 76 200 2 21.0 3 Florida 57.57 ± 3.82 7
86 Georges Niang 6 8 80 236 3 4 21.7 3 Iowa St 60.00 ± -- 1
87 Dustin Hogue 6 6 78 3 4 Iowa St 60.00 ± -- 1
88 Isaiah Taylor 6 3 75 168 1 20.6 2 Texas 60.33 ± 14.47 3
89 Alan Williams 6 8 80 264 5 22.1 4 UC Santa Barbara 61.40 ± 8.38 5
90 Alex Poythress 6 8 80 238 3 21.0 3 Kentucky 62.00 ± 7.07 2
91 Brandon Ashley 6 8 80 223 4 20.6 3 Arizona 62.57 ± 19.13 7
92 Branden Dawson 6 6 78 206 3 22.1 4 Michigan St 63.40 ± 15.08 5
93 DeAndre Bembry 6 6 78 210 3 20.7 2 Saint Joseph's 64.00 ± -- 1
94 Arturas Gudaitis 6 10 82 253 5 21.7 -- INTL (LITHUANIA) 64.25 ± 24.03 4
95 Keifer Sykes 6 0 72 180 1 21.2 4 Wisconsin - Green Bay 64.83 ± 16.68 6
96 Anthony Barber 6 2 74 165 1 20.0 2 NC State 66.00 ± -- 1
97 Daniel Diez 6 8 80 216 3 21.9 -- INTL (SPAIN) 66.33 ± 11.85 3
98 Treveon Graham 6 6 78 220 2 21.0 4 VCU 67.33 ± 15.88 6
99 Lucas Dias 6 9 81 220 3 4 19.7 INTL (BRAZIL) 67.50 ± 10.61 2
100 Andzejs Pasecniks 7 1 85 220 5 19.2 -- INTL (LATVIA) 67.50 ± 13.44 2

So these are the Top 100 players by rank out of my spreadsheet big board of 225.

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While these are the most up to date mocks used, some of them are weeks old. As a consequence, the latest draft player info (who is in, who is out) is not reflected in each of the individual mocks used as source material. So you will get a player who is ranked in there who has been eliminated by me scrubbing this list a bit to reflect more accurately what reality is. If you care enough, drop me a line in the comments section and I'll tell you where they are currently slotted to be ranked.

Ultimately, this is a research and reference tool for you to use and enjoy. If you do use it, tweet it to me so I can check out your own work. Alternatively, if you are a draft nerd and have your own mock draft, I want to see it and add it to my list  (provided you update it enough, I've had to drop a few from my watch-list this last week).

Thanks for reading this far down, you da real MVP.

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Past Mock Drafts:

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