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NBA Mock Draft 2015: Consensus Mock Draft 5.0 - The Top 100 Players this year

March Madness? Done. NBA Regular season? Done. Lottery and coin flips? Done. Most predraft workouts? Done. What's left? The Draft.

By AllThatAmar
Godofredo Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports

Yikes, it appears as though the last time I did this was way back on April 21st. I guess you could say I've been taking my sweet time with these. On one hand, I didn't post a lot the last two months. On the other hand, I really did buckle down on understanding this year's NBA Draft. I know the teams, I know who they may lose in free agency, I know the coaching changes, and I think I know where their rosters need to improve. I've read, watched, talked about with, and learned a lot about many of the players who could get picked this year. However, the one thing I really know is that I'm just still scratching the surface on these talented basketball players. It's going to be a fun draft this year, there are a lot of good kids out there who want to prove it to themselves that they can make it in the NBA. After spending the last four months focusing on what may happen a few nights from now I'm confident enough to say that we're all still learning about these kids. So, who goes where?

The consensus rankings of 40 mock drafts and/or big boards reveals the following order:

(N.B. Scroll to the end to see the names, lists, links, and dates of the 40 mock drafts used)

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Tier I - Top 15:

Player Ht Wt Pos Age Ex College AVG STDEV Mock n = MODE
1 Karl-Anthony Towns 7 0 248 5 19.3 1 Kentucky 1.10 ± 0.30 40 1
2 Jahlil Okafor 6 11 272 5 19.2 1 Duke 2.20 ± 0.94 40 2
3 D'Angelo Russell 6 5 175 1 2 19.0 1 Ohio State 3.10 ± 0.55 40 3
4 Emmanuel Mudiay 6 5 200 1 2 19.0 -- INTL (CHINA) 5.05 ± 1.38 40 4
5 Kristaps Porzingis 7 0 220 4 19.6 -- INTL (LATVIA) 5.15 ± 1.90 40 5
6 Justise Winslow 6 7 229 3 18.9 1 Duke 5.78 ± 1.40 40 5
7 Mario Hezonja 6 8 200 2 3 20.0 -- INTL (CROATIA) 6.75 ± 1.39 40 7
8 Willie Cauley-Stein 7 0 244 5 21.5 3 Kentucky 9.10 ± 2.81 40 11
9 Stanley Johnson 6 8 243 3 18.8 1 Arizona 9.55 ± 2.07 40 8
10 Devin Booker 6 5 186 2 18.3 1 Kentucky 11.08 ± 2.91 40 9
11 Myles Turner 6 11 242 4 5 18.9 1 Texas 11.56 ± 1.96 39 12
12 Frank Kaminsky 7 0 242 4 21.9 4 Wisconsin 11.85 ± 2.99 39 12
13 Cameron Payne 6 2 180 1 21.0 3 Murray St 13.08 ± 3.25 40 14
14 Kelly Oubre Jr. 6 6 204 3 19.2 1 Kansas 15.08 ± 3.44 39 13
15 Trey Lyles 6 10 250 4 19.3 1 Kentucky 15.73 ± 4.11 40 16

No major surprises here, any/all of these guys could easily be lotto picks in other years as well.

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Tier II - Consensus Rank 16-30:

Player Ht Wt Pos Age Ex College AVG STDEV Mock n = MODE
16 Sam Dekker 6 9 229 3 20.8 3 Wisconsin 15.92 ± 3.74 39 16
17 Bobby Portis 6 10 235 4 20.0 2 Arkansas 16.50 ± 1.95 40 15
18 Jerian Grant 6 5 204 1 22.4 4 Notre Dame 18.79 ± 3.05 39 18
19 Tyus Jones 6 1 184 1 18.8 1 Duke 19.41 ± 3.57 39 18
20 Kevon Looney 6 9 220 4 19.1 1 UCLA 19.51 ± 3.19 39 19
21 Rondae Hollis-Jefferson 6 7 212 3 20.2 2 Arizona 20.76 ± 3.28 38 20
22 R.J. Hunter 6 5 180 2 21.3 3 Georgia St 22.26 ± 4.73 39 21
23 Montrezl Harrell 6 8 230 4 21.1 3 Louisville 22.71 ± 3.59 38 23
24 Justin Anderson 6 6 222 3 21.3 3 Virginia 23.61 ± 2.53 38 24
25 Delon Wright 6 5 179 1 22.8 4 Utah 24.31 ± 3.40 35 24
26 Rashad Vaughn 6 5 200 2 18.5 1 UNLV 24.94 ± 3.76 31 26
27 Terry Rozier 6 2 189 1 21.0 2 Louisville 28.00 ± 5.07 34 27
28 Jarell Martin 6 7 242 4 20.8 2 LSU 28.86 ± 5.23 29 29
29 Chris McCullough 6 9 200 4 20.0 1 Syracuse 29.73 ± 3.55 30 30
30 Christian Wood 6 11 220 4 19.4 2 UNLV 30.52 ± 6.82 33 30

There's a reason why the last 5 guys here are called "Bubble" guys. Their infrequency in many of the mocks indicates as much.

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Tier III - Consensus Rank 31-45:

Player Ht Wt Pos Age Ex College AVG STDEV Mock n = MODE
31 Guillermo Hernangomez 6 11 255 5 20.6 -- INTL (SPAIN) 33.43 ± 6.18 23 32
32 Rakeem Christmas 6 9 226 4 5 23.2 4 Syracuse 34.64 ± 6.42 25 29
33 Anthony Brown 6 7 207 3 22.4 4 Stanford 35.29 ± 8.16 21 31
34 Jordan Mickey 6 7 234 4 5 20.6 2 LSU 35.60 ± 6.11 20 32
35 Robert Upshaw 7 0 264 5 21.1 2 Washington 35.70 ± 9.44 23 33
36 Jonathan Holmes 6 8 254 3 22.2 4 Texas 36.95 ± 9.87 22 40
37 Cliff Alexander 6 9 254 4 5 19.3 1 Kansas 37.14 ± 6.27 22 34
38 Cedi Osman 6 8 190 3 19.9 -- INTL (MACEDONIA) 38.10 ± 6.98 20 44
39 Dakari Johnson 6 11 263 5 19.4 2 Kentucky 39.90 ± 6.32 21 40
40 Nikola Milutinov 6 11 220 5 20.2 -- INTL (SERBIA) 40.00 ± 8.70 21 47
41 Norman Powell 6 3 199 2 21.8 4 UCLA 40.27 ± 7.83 22 50
42 Olivier Hanlan 6 4 188 1 2 22.0 3 Boston College 41.90 ± 5.68 20 50
43 Andrew Harrison 6 5 207 1 2 20.4 2 Kentucky 42.55 ± 6.63 22 43
44 Michael Frazier II 6 4 200 2 21.0 3 Florida 42.65 ± 10.16 23 53
45 Richaun Holmes 6 10 236 4 21.5 4 Bowling Green 42.76 ± 8.47 21 34

No one knows who is going to make it in the 2nd round, you see more international players here, and very low actual consensus on where these players are ranked (high standard deviation).

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Tier IV - Consensus Rank 46-60:

Player Ht Wt Pos Age Ex College AVG STDEV Mock n = MODE
46 J.P. Tokoto 6 6 200 2 21.5 3 North Carolina 42.86 ± 8.48 22 46
47 Joseph Young 6 3 185 2 22.0 4 Oregon 43.50 ± 9.30 20 49
48 Mouhammadou Jaiteh 6 11 249 5 20.3 -- INTL (FRANCE) 43.55 ± 5.33 20 49
49 Arturas Gudaitis 6 10 253 5 21.7 -- INTL (LITHUANIA) 44.58 ± 8.86 19 48
50 Pat Connaughton 6 5 215 2 22.3 4 Notre Dame 49.56 ± 5.91 18 42
51 Josh Richardson 6 6 200 2 21.0 4 Tennessee 49.92 ± 7.41 13 59
52 Tyler Harvey 6 4 185 2 21.0 2 E. Washington 50.41 ± 10.55 17 60
53 Michael Qualls 6 6 198 2 21.1 3 Arkansas 51.55 ± 11.04 11 58
54 Vince Hunter 6 8 200 4 20.0 2 UTEP 51.82 ± 5.51 17 54
55 Terran Petteway 6 6 209 2 22.4 3 Nebraska 53.63 ± 14.51 8 #N/A
56 Aaron White 6 9 225 4 22.5 4 Iowa 53.40 ± 4.35 10 47
57 Larry Nance Jr. 6 9 227 4 22.0 4 Wyoming 54.20 ± 4.74 15 56
58 Kenneth Smith 6 3 180 1 22.0 Louisiana Tech 55.33 ± 15.18 3 #N/A
59 Alan Williams 6 8 264 5 22.1 4 UC Santa Barbara 55.07 ± 11.17 15 59
60 Branden Dawson 6 6 206 3 22.1 4 Michigan St 55.86 ± 12.47 7 60

If you are looking at just the Top 60, this is where the buck stops.

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Tier V - Consensus Rank 61-75:

Player Ht Wt Pos Age Ex College AVG STDEV Mock n = MODE
61 Daniel Diez 6 8 216 3 21.9 -- INTL (SPAIN) 55.81 ± 6.64 16 58
62 Awudu Abass 6 7 224 3 22.4 -- INTL (ITALY) 57.50 ± 6.53 6 57
63 Luka Mitrovic 6 8 200 4 21.0 -- INTL (SERBIA) 59.67 ± 11.50 6 48
64 Aaron Harrison 6 6 212 2 20.0 2 Kentucky 59.75 ± 10.22 8 #N/A
65 Quinn Cook 6 2 185 1 21.0 4 Duke 60.22 ± 8.14 9 57
66 Brandon Ashley 6 8 223 4 20.6 3 Arizona 60.75 ± 13.69 8 #N/A
67 Treveon Graham 6 6 220 2 21.0 4 VCU 62.38 ± 4.96 8 67
68 Chris Walker 6 9 205 4 20.2 2 Florida 62.88 ± 7.00 8 60
69 Satnam Singh Bhamara 7 2 290 5 19.3 -- INTL (INDIA) 63.67 ± 18.79 6 51
70 Chasson Randle 6 1 180 2 22.0 4 Stanford 64.75 ± 10.63 4 #N/A
71 Shawn Dawson 6 6 195 3 21.3 -- INTL (ISRAEL) 65.67 ± 11.60 6 58
72 Briante Weber 6 2 195 1 22.0 4 VCU 66.75 ± 26.70 4 #N/A
73 Guillem Vives 6 4 180 21.0 -- INTL (SPAIN) 66.83 ± 18.04 6 #N/A
74 Cady Lalanne 6 10 241 4 5 22.9 4 Massachusetts 67.43 ± 11.01 7 60
75 T.J. McConnell Arizona 69.25 ± 8.26 4 #N/A

I could tell you about 5 actually important things about maybe 5 of these players.

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Tier VI - Consensus Rank 76-100:

Player Ht Wt Pos Age Ex College AVG STDEV Mock n = MODE
76 Darrun Hilliard II 3 Villanova 70.00 ± 13.84 5 #N/A
77 Corey Hawkins 6 2 192 2 23.7 4 UC Davis 71.20 ± 10.50 5 #N/A
78 Dez Wells 6 4 215 2 22.0 4 Maryland 72.25 ± 5.32 4 #N/A
79 Keifer Sykes 6 0 180 1 21.2 4 Wisconsin - Green Bay 73.60 ± 10.71 5 #N/A
80 Ziga Dimec 6 11 255 5 -- INTL (SLOVENIA) 75.00 ± 15.13 3 #N/A
81 Nikola Radicevic 6 5 200 1 21.0 -- INTL (SERBIA) 73.71 ± 18.13 7 59
82 Le'Bryan Nash 6 7 235 3 22.0 4 Oklahoma St 75.25 ± 15.39 4 #N/A
83 Sir'Dominic Pointer 6 5 193 3 23.0 4 St. John's 75.20 ± 14.79 5 #N/A
84 Mateusz Ponitka 6 6 211 2 21.4 -- INTL (POLAND) 76.25 ± 14.82 4 #N/A
85 Nenad Miljenovic 6 4 200 1 21.9 -- INTL (SERBIA) 77.67 ± 16.29 3 #N/A
86 Shannon Scott 6 2 175 1 22.2 4 Ohio State 78.50 ± 12.48 4 86
87 Wayne Blackshear 6 5 200 23.0 Louisville 82.00 ± 2 #N/A
88 Trevor Lacey 6 3 210 23.0 NC State 80.00 ± 14.24 4 #N/A
89 Will Cummings 6 1 180 1 4 Temple 83.50 ± 2 #N/A
90 Wesley Saunders 6 6 220 2 21.0 4 Harvard 82.33 ± 12.42 3 #N/A
91 Juwan Staten 5 11 186 1 22.8 4 West Virginia 82.75 ± 15.33 4 #N/A
92 Ryan Boatright 6 0 152 1 22.0 4 UCONN 83.50 ± 15.18 4 #N/A
93 D.J. Newbill 6 4 2 4 Penn State 85.00 ± 9.13 4 #N/A
94 TaShawn Thomas 6 8 240 4 22.2 4 Oklahoma 85.50 ± 12.18 4 #N/A
95 Tyler Haws 6 5 200 2 24.0 4 BYU 89.00 ± 2 #N/A
96 Isaac Fotu 6 8 230 4 21.3 -- INTL (NEW ZEALAND) 90.00 ± 2 #N/A
97 Seth Tuttle Northern Iowa 89.33 ± 8.02 3 #N/A
98 Joshua Smith 6 10 350 5 22.8 4 Georgetown 90.00 ± 7.00 3 #N/A
99 Darion Atkins 6 8 240 4 22.5 Virginia 90.67 ± 14.43 3 99
100 Marcus Thornton 6 3 177 1 22.2 4 William & Mary 91.00 ± 6.98 4 #N/A

At the end of the day, these guys will be happy to get drafted.

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Source Material:

TV / Ratio / Print Expert Twitter Type n Date
1 CBS Sports Gary Parrish @GaryParrishCBS Mock 60 18-Jun
2 CBS Sports Sam Vecenie @Sam_Vecenie Mock 60 18-Jun
3 CBS Sports Zach Harper @TalkHoops Mock 60 18-Jun
4 ESPN Chad Ford @ChadFordInsider Top 100 100 18-Jun
5 ESPN Chad Ford @ChadFordInsider Mock 60 19-Jun
6 ESPN Chad Ford @ChadFordInsider "A Grade" 60 23-Jun
7 ESPN Kevin Pelton @KPelton Mock 30 21-May
8 International Business Times Greg Price @GP_IBTimes Mock 14 22-Jun
9 NBC Sports Kurt Helin @BasketballTalk Mock 30 20-May
10 Sporting News Sean Deveney @SeanDeveney Mock 30 22-Jun
11 Sports Illustrated Chris Manix @ChrisMannixSI Mock 30 23-Jun
12 USA Today Derek Bodner @DerekBodnerNBA Mock 60 22-Jun
NBA Draft Site Expert Twitter Type n Date
1 DraftExpress.com Jonathan Givony @DraftExpress Top 100 100 15-Jun
2 DraftExpress.com Jonathan Givony @DraftExpress Mock 60 22-Jun
3 LotteryMafia.con Zach Reynolds @ZachCReynolds Mock 60 10-Jun
4 MyNBADraft.com Unknown @MyNBADraft Mock 60 22-Jun
5 NBA.com Scott Howard-Cooper @SHowardCooper Mock 60 18-Jun
6 NBADraft.net Aran Smith @NBADraftNet Top 100 100 23-Jun
7 NBADraft.net Aran Smith @NBADraftNet Mock 60 22-Jun
8 WalterFootball.com Paul Banks (Washington Times), David Kay (The Sports Bank) @PaulMBanks Mock 60 18-Jun
Online Only NBA Site Expert Twitter Type n Date
1 BasketballInsiders.com Alex Kennedy @AlexKennedyNBA Consensus 30 17-Jun
2 BasketballInsiders.com Joel Brigham @JoelBrigham Consensus 30 17-Jun
3 BasketballInsiders.com Moke Hamilton @MokeHamilton Consensus 30 17-Jun
4 BasketballInsiders.com Steve Kyler @SteveKylerNBA Mock 60 23-Jun
5 BasketballInsiders.com Steve Kyler @SteveKylerNBA Consensus 30 17-Jun
6 BleacherReport.com Chris Rolling @Chris_Roling Mock 30 20-Jun
7 BleacherReport.com Jonathan Wasserman @NBADraftWass Mock 30 22-Jun
8 BleacherReport.com Jonathan Wasserman @NBADraftWass Top 50 50 10-Jun
9 BleacherReport.com Mike Chiari @MikeChiari Mock 30 23-Jun
10 CrossoverChronicles.com Tony Xypteras @TonyXypteras Mock 30 19-Jun
11 FanSided.com Connor Gomer @ConnorGomer Mock 30 16-Jun
12 HardwoodParoxysm.com Brian Schroeder @Cosmis Mock 60 22-Jun
13 HoopsHype.com Aran Smith @HoopsHype Mock 30 11-Jun
14 InsideHoops.com Unknown @InsideHoops Mock 24 17-Jun
15 SBNation.com AllThatAmar @AllThatAmar Consensus 100 23-Jun
16 SBNation.com AllThatAmar @AllThatAmar Mock 30 23-Jun
17 SBNation.com Kevin O'Connor @KevinOConnorNBA Mock 30 22-Jun
18 SBNation.com Multiple @SBNationNBA @RidicUpside Mock 30 22-Jun
19 SheridanHoops.com Joe Kotoch @JoeKotoch Mock 30 17-Jun
20 Yahoo! Sports - Ball Don't Lie Jonathan Givony @DraftExpress Mock 60 22-Jun

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Past Mock Drafts:

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