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Ranking the Top 30 NBA Free Agents in 2019

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Plus the odds at the Jazz signing them

Last week I provided a detailed report and projection about how much money to expect each team to have on hand when free agency begins this summer. That full article can be found here. The Jazz are looking at around $33 million in cap space, which gives them a max salary slot and puts them 7th overall in spending power.

But who can they use that on? The 2019 NBA Free Agency class is stacked. There’s a reason so many teams were jockeying for salary cap space last summer and at the trade deadline. Will the Jazz be able to convince any of these guys to join Donovan Mitchell and Rudy Gobert in their pursuit of a championship?

With the salary cap space projections available, I’d now like to take a look at what players are available and rank them accordingly. I’ve also provided my odds at Utah signing each of them. Hopefully this gives you a good idea at what to look forward to and can spark some good discussion!

1. Kevin Durant, SF/PF, Golden State Warriors

Perennial MVP candidate and one of the best players in the league. It seems like his time in Golden State is coming to a close and that he’s headed to New York. Jazz chance of signing: 0%

2. Kawhi Leonard, SF, Toronto Raptors

Trading for Kawhi may have already paid itself off for the Raptors, even if he decides to leave this summer. He’s an MVP candidate an arguably the best two-way player in the league. Does he still desire to bolt to LA, or has Toronto done enough to convince him to stay? Jazz chance of signing: 0%

3. Kyrie Irving, PG, Boston Celtics

Great point guard that’s still only 27 years old. His time in Boston was.... interesting. I’m not so sure he stays based on his comments as the season progressed. I’m guessing he goes to New York or Brooklyn. Jazz chance of signing: 0%

4. Kemba Walker, PG, Charlotte Hornets

The wild card. I don’t feel like anyone has a good pulse on this situation. It would appear he’s ready to contribute to a winning team and have a shot at a title, but where exactly will he go? I think everyone with max space will be in the running. Jazz chance of signing: 15%

5. Klay Thompson, SG, Golden State Warriors

Some reports lately suggest that Klay is sick of only having leftovers to work with offensively. I don’t know how much truth there is to that. Assuming Durant leaves, I highly doubt Klay leaves the Warriors. If he does, LA seems like the most likely destination. Jazz chance of signing: 3%

6. Tobias Harris, PF, Philadelphia 76ers

Rumored to have expressed potential interest in playing for the Jazz in the past, I’m sure Tobias is near the top of Dennis Lindsey and Justin Zanik’s free agency list. I’m also sure that the Jazz won’t be the only suitors. The 76ers are committed to keeping him as well, so he has a big decision upcoming. Jazz chance of signing: 20%

7. Jimmy Butler, SF, Philadelphia 76ers

Utah could become a sneaky FA destination for Jimmy Butler. He wants to win and he wants to get paid. Not everyone will be able to offer that, but the Jazz can. The most likely scenario seems to be him remaining in Philadelphia. Jazz chance of signing: 10%

8. Khris Middleton, SF, Milwaukee Bucks

The Bucks are still playing games and could be for a while. They will be very motivated to keep this core together. I doubt their new all-star Middleton will be packing his bags anytime soon. Jazz chance of signing: 5%

9. D’Angelo Russell, PG, Brooklyn Nets

Russell’s free agency should be particularly interesting to monitor, especially if Kyrie selects the Nets. Certainly they can’t sign Kyrie and keep Joe Harris, Chris LeVert, Spencer Dinwiddie, AND DLo. Russell would be the most expensive to keep, so they could decide to let their RFA go. Plus, it would appear that Russell and Donovan Mitchell are good friends off the court. Jazz chance of signing: 19%

10. Kristaps Porzingis, C, Dallas Mavericks

I don’t think Mark Cuban traded for Porzingis without intending to extend his contract. I also doubt that Utah would have much interest with Rudy on the roster and if you look at Kristaps’ recent news cycles. Jazz chance of signing: 0%

11. Nikola Vucevic, C, Orlando Magic

How is Vucevic seen around the league? I honestly have no idea. He made his first all-star game and lead the Magic to their first playoff birth in years. Will he get a max contract and who might be willing to offer that? Certainly not the Jazz, but someone could. Jazz chance of signing: 0%

12. DeMarcus Cousins, PF/C, Golden State Warriors

High risk potentially high reward. I highly doubt that DL and co. will be calling Cousins, but I think someone will be willing to gamble on the big man. Jazz chance of signing: 0%

13. Malcolm Brogdon, PG/SG, Milwaukee Bucks

Restricted free agency is always difficult to project. Brogdon was an important piece on the team with the most wins this year. It’s well known that the Bucks intend to keep as much of this group together as they can. Will they put their money where their mouth is? Because you might pry him away if you overpay the young guard. Jazz chance of signing: 18%

14. Al Horford, C, Boston Celtics

Horford has a player option for over 30 million next year. At 32 years old there’s no way he gets that much money. I’m guessing he opts in unless he wants a long term contract. Jazz chance of signing: 0%

15. Julius Randle, PF, New Orleans Pelicans

Randle bet on himself with a 1+1 last summer and it will almost certainly pay off. I’m sure New Orleans would like to keep him if they can. What will Randle’s priorities be this summer? It feels like he could go just about anywhere. Jazz chance of signing: 9%.

16. Bojan Bogdanovic, SF, Indiana Pacers

Bogdanovic was having a really good season before Victor Oladipo went down with an injury. Bojan helped pick up some of that production loss and ended up having a great season. One that will certainly give him a raise this summer. I think he could be had if you are willing to offer more than others. Jazz chance of signing: 21%.

17. Marc Gasol, C, Toronto Raptors

Like Horford, Gasol has a player option that is likely to be picked up for next season. If he opts in, he will make over $25 million next season. I think he’ll stay in Toronto for that last big year. He’s also probably not ready to be a full time backup behind Gobert. Jazz chance of signing: 0%.

18. Brook Lopez, C, Milwaukee Bucks

The Bucks have a lot of big free agents this summer, with Lopez joining Middleton and Brogdon. I’m still shocked that they got Lopez for only $3 million this season. He has transitioned to the modern NBA better than possibly any other player in the league. I’m not sure he’s a match for Utah and I think he stays in Milwaukee. Jazz chance of signing: 0%

19. Paul Millsap, PF, Denver Nuggets

Denver holds all the cards on Millsap’s team option of $30 million next season. They may decide to move on if they feel like they can get a higher impact player at a greater position of need. Could the Jazz see a Millsap homecoming? His age doesn’t match the timeline, but his play style fits well next to Rudy. Jazz chance of signing: 5%

20. JJ Redick, SG, Philadelphia 76ers

The sharpshooter has been an important piece for Philadelphia’s recent success. But that luxury tax bill will be HUGE if they bring back even just Butler and Harris once Ben Simmons is up for an extension. Can they afford to keep Redick as well? Lindsey has expressed the need to add snipers. Redick certainly fits that description. Jazz chance of signing: 14%

21. Danny Green, SG, Toronto Raptors

Green looked like a renewed and re-energized player during his time in Toronto this season. He three point shot returned in force by hitting over 45% from 3 on the season. He felt like a throw in during the Kawhi Leonard trade, but he was key for the Raptors this year. Like Redick, he fits that “sniper” mold the Jazz could be targeting to place next to Donovan Mitchell. Jazz chance of signing: 18%

22. Nikola Mirotic, PF, Milwaukee Bucks

Mirotic could be the odd man out once the dust settles in Milwaukee. With how many free agents they have, he may be finding yet another new NBA home. He’s been involved in rumors to Utah a few times now. How much truth were there to those? Would the 27 year old be enough of an upgrade on offense to be worth it? Jazz chance of signing: 13%

23. DeAndre Jordan, C, New York Knicks

He’s obviously not coming to Utah anytime soon. It’s also unlikely he makes the $23 million he made last season ever again. But he’s still a double-double machine and certainly someone will find good use for him. Jazz chance of signing: 0%

24. Thaddeus Young, PF, Indiana Pacers

I’ve personally liked Young as a fit on the Jazz for some time. He had a good year for the Pacers and they’d like to bring him back if they can. Honestly, the Jazz and Pacers have a very similar looking summer ahead of them. Jazz chance of signing: 5%

25. Patrick Beverley, PG, Los Angeles Clippers

Beverley is commonly referred to as a great target for Utah. But they aren’t going to be the only suitors. His tenacious defense and 40+% from three are incredibly valuable. The Clippers have big plans for this summer and a point-guard-in-waiting in Gilgeous-Alexander, so I think Beverley is very attainable. Jazz chance of signing: 25%

26. Rudy Gay, SF/PF, San Antonio Spurs

It feels like Rudy Gay has been around forever. His transition to the PF position has gone very well for San Antonio. He could be a very interesting addition in Quin Snyder’s offense. Like Joe Johnson a few years ago, I could see the Jazz overpaying a little to bring someone like Gay to Utah. Jazz chance of signing: 12%

27. Ricky Rubio, PG, Utah Jazz

The ever-polarizing Rubio. His character and leadership are absolutely loved. He’s a fantastic player off the court with his community involvement. However, his on court production is not an ideal fit for Utah’s lineup. With Rudy at center, you need more shooting around him than Ricky can provide. That being said, I don’t think it’s out of the question for Utah to bring him back. Jazz chance of signing: 11%

28. Marcus Morris, PF, Boston Celtics

When available, Marcus Morris has been one of the Celtics better players the past couple years. He could provide some much needed floor spacing for the Jazz. I’m curious to see how much Morris gets and where he lands. Something tells me it probably won’t be Utah. Jazz chance of signing: 4%

29. Jeremy Lamb, SG, Charlotte Hornets

Lamb quietly had a good year for the Hornets. At only 26 years old you can be hopeful in some progression as well, especially under a coaching staff like Snyder’s. He’s a good not great shooter and a good not great creator. He would intrigue me if slotted alongside Donovan Mitchel in the Jazz backcourt. Jazz chance of signing: 12%

30. Darren Collison, PG, Indiana Pacers

Apparently I like the Pacers, because like Bogdanovic and Young, I like Collison’s potential fit in Utah. If the Jazz are unable to land a marque free agent and can’t trade for an upgrade at point guard, they could do much worse than Collison. Consistent and predictable, you pretty much know what you’ll get from him every year. Jazz chance of signing: 10%

I’m sure you’ll disagree with many of my rankings as well as Utah’s chance of signing them. I’m not sure if I even agree with all of them. So share your thoughts below!