Tonight the Utah Jazz play the second game of a back-to-back set -- and they will face the Milwaukee Bucks. The Jazz and the Bucks are kinda in the same echelon as franchises go. They are in the shadow of a much more popular city in the same area (Chicago and Denver), don't have a lot of star power, and aside from those 70s championships, have had a somewhat similar success rate in the 2000s and 2010s. These teams aren't close when we actually look at the head to head record. For all time the Jazz are up 49-43, but in recent times it's been pretty one sided. Last season the Jazz swept them, and this season they are already 1-0. But . . .
At home the Jazz have won 22 of their last 25, and even in Milwaukee they have won 13 and lost 12. (N.B. Because of schedule dynamics, there were two extra home games played thanks to lockouts, and omitted from this was a 98-96 home win in 1989 and a 144-96 home win in 1990.) That's 35 and 15 in favor for the good guys -- winning 70% of the time.
Looking at just these 50 games, the Jazz average score at home is 102.36 - 91.56, a +10.80 margin of victory. On the road it's pretty close, the Jazz average 100.44, but give up 100.68, losing by just -0.24 points per game. There has been just one overtime game in Utah, but two in Milwaukee.
When we take a look at just the most recent games (10 games and 5 games) the Jazz are 10-0 and 5-0 at home. On the road they are 5-5 over the last ten games there, and 2-3 in the last five.
The bottom line is that it's not impossible to win there. It's very possible. Is it probable? I hope so. At the end of the day it should be close.